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The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets is limited due to heavy memory and computational requirements. A variety of methods has been proposed to enable scalability, one of which is to exploit structure in the kernel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-30 Jan Graßhoff , Alexandra Jankowski , Philipp Rostalski

We present a new approach for solving (minimum disagreement) correlation clustering that results in sublinear algorithms with highly efficient time and space complexity for this problem. In particular, we obtain the following algorithms for…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-09-30 Sepehr Assadi , Chen Wang

The stochastic partial differential equation approach to Gaussian processes (GPs) represents Mat\'ern GP priors in terms of $n$ finite element basis functions and Gaussian coefficients with sparse precision matrix. Such representations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible, probabilistic, nonparametric models widely used in fields such as spatial statistics and machine learning. A drawback of Gaussian processes is their computational cost, with $O(N^3)$ time and $O(N^2)$…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Filippo Rambelli , Fabio Sigrist

Real-world measurement noise in applications like robotics is often correlated in time, but we typically assume i.i.d. Gaussian noise for filtering. We propose general Gaussian Processes as a non-parametric model for correlated measurement…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-25 Vince Kurtz , Hai Lin

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts

We provide linear-time algorithms for geometric graphs with sublinearly many crossings. That is, we provide algorithms running in O(n) time on connected geometric graphs having n vertices and k crossings, where k is smaller than n by an…

计算几何 · 计算机科学 2010-12-16 David Eppstein , Michael T. Goodrich , Darren Strash

We present an approach for satisfying state constraints in systems with nonparametric uncertainty by estimating this uncertainty with a real-time-update Gaussian process (GP) model. Notably, new data is incorporated into the model in real…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-13 Ricardo Gutierrez , Jesse B. Hoagg

In this work we review the application of the theory of Gaussian processes to the modeling of noise in pulsar-timing data analysis, and we derive various useful and optimized representations for the likelihood expressions that are needed in…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2014-11-19 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

Standard gradient-based iteration algorithms for optimization, such as gradient descent and its various proximal-based extensions to nonsmooth problems, are known to converge slowly for ill-conditioned problems, sometimes requiring many…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-24 G. H. M. Araújo , O. A. Krzysik , H. De Sterck

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Vladimir Feinberg , Li-Fang Cheng , Kai Li , Barbara E Engelhardt

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Least-squares Petrov--Galerkin (LSPG) model-reduction techniques such as the Gauss--Newton with Approximated Tensors (GNAT) method have shown promise, as they have generated stable, accurate solutions for large-scale turbulent, compressible…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2016-08-18 Kevin Carlberg , Matthew Barone , Harbir Antil

Graph Gaussian Processes (GGPs) provide a data-efficient solution on graph structured domains. Existing approaches have focused on static structures, whereas many real graph data represent a dynamic structure, limiting the applications of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 David Blanco-Mulero , Markus Heinonen , Ville Kyrki

Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-08 Z. Zhang , K. Duraisamy , N. A. Gumerov

Non-stationary time series with non-linear trends are frequently encountered in applications. We consider here the feasibility of accurately forecasting the signals of multiple such time series considering jointly when the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-05 Kerry Fendick