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Capsule networks (see e.g. Hinton et al., 2018) aim to encode knowledge and reason about the relationship between an object and its parts. In this paper we specify a \emph{generative} model for such data, and derive a variational algorithm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-16 Alfredo Nazabal , Nikolaos Tsagkas , Christopher K. I. Williams

Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Ziniu Hu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Xuanzhe Liu , Tie-Yan Liu

Capsule Networks, as alternatives to Convolutional Neural Networks, have been proposed to recognize objects from images. The current literature demonstrates many advantages of CapsNets over CNNs. However, how to create explanations for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-04-11 Xian Wu

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

Manipulation is an important issue for both developed and emerging stock markets. For the study of manipulation, it is critical to analyze investor behavior in the stock market. In this paper, an analysis of the full transaction records of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2011-10-12 Xiao-Qian Sun , Xue-Qi Cheng , Hua-Wei Shen , Zhao-Yang Wang

The evaluation of the financial markets to predict their behaviour have been attempted using a number of approaches, to make smart and profitable investment decisions. Owing to the highly non-linear trends and inter-dependencies, it is…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-02 Shaswat Mohanty , Anirudh Vijay , Nandagopan Gopakumar

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

The paper presents a novel Auto Language Prediction Dictionary Capsule (ALPDC) framework for language prediction and machine translation. The model uses a combination of neural networks and symbolic representations to predict the language…

Many researchers both in academia and industry have long been interested in the stock market. Numerous approaches were developed to accurately predict future trends in stock prices. Recently, there has been a growing interest in utilizing…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-13 Raehyun Kim , Chan Ho So , Minbyul Jeong , Sanghoon Lee , Jinkyu Kim , Jaewoo Kang

Stock market prediction has been an important topic for investors, researchers, and analysts. Because it is affected by too many factors, stock market prediction is a difficult task to handle. In this study, we propose a novel method that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-07-05 Anil Berk Altuner , Zeynep Hilal Kilimci

The early detection of drowsiness has become vital to ensure the correct and safe development of several industries' tasks. Due to the transient mental state of a human subject between alertness and drowsiness, automated drowsiness…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Luis Guarda , Juan Tapia , Enrique Lopez Droguett , Marcelo Ramos

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

Predicting volatility in financial markets, including stocks, index ETFs, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrencies, remains a challenging task due to the inherent complexity and non-linear dynamics of these time series. In this study, I apply…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-17 Alex Li

This research evaluates the performance of an Artificial Neural Network based prediction system that was employed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange for the period 21-Sep-2016 to 11-Oct-2016. It is a follow-up to a previous paper in which the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-12-09 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

A Capsule Network (CapsNet) is a relatively new classifier and one of the possible successors of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). CapsNet maintains the spatial hierarchies between the features and outperforms CNNs at classifying images…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Pouya Shiri , Amirali Baniasadi

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

Many studies have been undertaken by using machine learning techniques, including neural networks, to predict stock returns. Recently, a method known as deep learning, which achieves high performance mainly in image recognition and speech…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-14 Masaya Abe , Hideki Nakayama