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Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

Strategies adopted globally to mitigate the threat of COVID-19 have primarily involved lockdown measures with substantial economic and social costs with varying degrees of success. Morbidity patterns of COVID-19 variants have a strong…

Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

Exploring the spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19 transmission and its potential determinants could provide a deeper understanding of the dynamics of disease spread. This study aims to investigate the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-21 Xueqing Yin , John M. Aiken , Richard Harris , Jonathan L. Bamber

This paper investigates the identifiability of a spatial mathematical model of the spread of fast-moving epidemics based on the law of acting masses and diffusion processes. The research algorithm is based on global methods of Sobol…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-30 Olga Krivorotko , Tatiana Zvonareva , Andrei Neverov

The COVID-19 pandemic provided many modeling challenges to investigate the evolution of an epidemic process over areal units. A suitable encompassing model must describe the spatio-temporal variations of the disease infection rate of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-20 Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Dankmar Boehning , Sujit Sahu

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between…

The paper introduces an approach to identify a set of spatially constrained homogeneous areas maximally homogeneous in terms of epidemic trends. The proposed hierarchical algorithm is based on the Dynamic TimeWarping distances between…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Roberto Benedetti , Federica Piersimoni , Giacomo Pignataro , Francesco Vidoli

We propose an SEIR-type meta-population model to simulate and monitor the Covid-19 epidemic evolution. The basic model consists of seven compartments, namely susceptible (S), exposed (E), three infective classes, recovered (R), and deceased…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-18 Vinicius V. L. Albani , Roberto M. Velho , Jorge P. Zubelli

This paper examines the spatial distribution of income in Ireland. Median gross household disposable income data from the CSO, available at the Electoral Division (ED) level, is used to explore the spatial variability in income. Geary's C…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-28 Paul Kilgarriff , Martin Charlton

Introduction: The current study investigates the complex association between COVID-19 and the studied districts' socioecology (e.g. internal and external built environment, sociodemographic profiles, etc.) to quantify their contributions to…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 E. Leung , J. Guan , KO. Kwok , CT. Hung , CC. Ching , KC. Chong , CHK. Yam , T. Sun , WH. Tsang , EK. Yeoh , A. Lee

In 2019, the world faced a new challenge: a COVID-19 disease caused by the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2. The virus rapidly spread across the globe, leading to a high rate of mortality, which prompted health organizations to take measures…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-08 Kavian Khanjani , Seyed Rasoul Hosseini , Hamid Taheri , Shahrzad Shashaani , Mohammad Teshnehlab

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Raw data on the cumulative number of deaths at a country level generally indicate a spatially variable distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 disease. An important issue is to determine whether this spatial pattern is a consequence of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-21 Lionel Roques , Olivier Bonnefon , Virgile Baudrot , Samuel Soubeyrand , Henri Berestycki

The declaration of COVID-19 as a pandemic has largely amplified the spread of related information on social media, such as Twitter, Facebook, and WeChat.Unlike the previous studies which focused on how to detect the misinformation or fake…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-09 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Kaiyue Zhang , Lun Ge , Junming Huang , Zinan Zhang , Lu Wei , Gui-Quan Sun , Chuang Liu , Zi-Ke Zhang

With the prevailing efforts to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there are still uncertainties that are yet to be discovered about its spread, future impact, and resurgence. In this paper, we present a three-stage…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Oluwaseun T. Ajayi , Yu Cheng

Purpose: Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been extensively utilized for diagnosing and prognosis of several diseases in recent years. This study identifies, appraises and synthesizes published studies on the use of AI for the…

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, with its impact varying significantly across different geographic and socioeconomic contexts. This study employs a clustering analysis to examine the diversity of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-08-06 Morteza Maleki

The Covid-19 pandemic has intersected with the opioid epidemic to create a unique public health crisis, with the health and economic consequences of the virus and associated lockdowns compounding pre-existing social and economic stressors…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Angela E. Kilby , Charlie Denhart

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to ravage the world, it is of critical significance to provide a timely risk prediction of the COVID-19 in multi-level. To implement it and evaluate the public health policies, we develop a framework with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Lingxiao Wang , Tian Xu , Till Hannes Stoecker , Horst Stoecker , Yin Jiang , Kai Zhou
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