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Precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in modern agriculture and industry. However, it poses significant challenges due to the diverse patterns and dynamics in time and space, as well as the scarcity of high precipitation events. To…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-19 Xinzhe Li , Sun Rui , Yiming Niu , Yao Liu

The spatio-temporal graph learning is becoming an increasingly important object of graph study. Many application domains involve highly dynamic graphs where temporal information is crucial, e.g. traffic networks and financial transaction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-16 Bing Yu , Haoteng Yin , Zhanxing Zhu

Recent advances in neural weather forecasting have shown significant potential for accurate short-term forecasts. However, adapting such gridded approaches to smaller, topographically complex regions like Switzerland introduces…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-29 Ophélia Miralles , Daniele Nerini , Jonas Bhend , Baudouin Raoult , Christoph Spirig

Neural networks have opened up many new opportunities to utilize remotely sensed images in meteorology. Common applications include image classification, e.g., to determine whether an image contains a tropical cyclone, and image…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-05-08 Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Kyle A. Hilburn

Real-world problems often involve complex and unstructured sets of measurements, which occur when sensors are sparsely placed in either space or time. Being able to model this irregular spatiotemporal data and extract meaningful forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Arnaud Pannatier , Kyle Matoba , François Fleuret

In recent years traditional numerical methods for accurate weather prediction have been increasingly challenged by deep learning methods. Numerous historical datasets used for short and medium-range weather forecasts are typically organized…

FourCastNet 3 advances global weather modeling by implementing a scalable, geometric machine learning (ML) approach to probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The approach is designed to respect spherical geometry and to accurately model the…

Many real-world physics and engineering problems arise in geometrically complex domains discretized by meshes for numerical simulations. The nodes of these potentially irregular meshes naturally form point clouds whose limited tractability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Shirin Hosseinmardi , Ramin Bostanabad

This paper presents a solution to the Weather4Cast 2023 competition, where the goal is to forecast high-resolution precipitation with an 8-hour lead time using lower-resolution satellite radiance images. We propose a simple, yet effective…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

We propose the use of a stochastic variational frame prediction deep neural network with a learned prior distribution trained on two-dimensional rain radar reflectivity maps for precipitation nowcasting with lead times of up to 2 1/2 hours.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-05-14 Alexander Bihlo

Spatial time series forecasting problems arise in a broad range of applications, such as environmental and transportation problems. These problems are challenging because of the existence of specific spatial, short-term and long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-05 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

The UNet model consists of fully convolutional network (FCN) layers arranged as contracting encoder and upsampling decoder maps. Nested arrangements of these encoder and decoder maps give rise to extensions of the UNet model, such as UNete…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-11 Yilong Yang , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Sasan Mahmoodi

Remote sensing image change detection aims to identify the differences between images acquired at different times in the same area. It is widely used in land management, environmental monitoring, disaster assessment and other fields.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-07 Huan Zhong , Chen Wu

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Not only can discovering patterns and insights from atmospheric data enable more accurate weather predictions, but it may also provide valuable information to help tackle climate change. Weather4cast is an open competition that aims to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-08 Pak Hay Kwok , Qi Qi

The increasing frequency of heavy rainfall events, which are a major cause of urban flooding, underscores the urgent need for accurate precipitation forecasting - particularly in urban areas where localized events often go undetected by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Rama Kassoumeh , David Rügamer , Henning Oppel

Despite the success of convolution- and attention-based models in vision tasks, their rigid receptive fields and complex architectures limit their ability to model irregular spatial patterns and hinder interpretability, therefore posing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Xiangshuai Song , Jun-Jie Huang , Tianrui Liu , Ke Liang , Chang Tang

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan

Ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show systematic errors that require correction via post-processing. While there has been substantial progress in flexible neural network-based post-processing methods over the past…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Moritz Feik , Sebastian Lerch , Jan Stühmer