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Convection initiation (CI) nowcasting remains a challenging problem for both numerical weather prediction models and existing nowcasting algorithms. In this study, object-based probabilistic deep learning models are developed to predict CI…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-07-23 Da Fan , Steven J. Greybush , David John Gagne , Eugene E. Clothiaux

In this paper, we demonstrate the importance of embedding temporal information for an accurate prediction of solar irradiance. We have used two sets of models for forecasting solar irradiance. The first one uses only time series data of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-10-20 T. A. Fathima , Vasudevan Nedumpozhimana , Yee Hui Lee , Soumyabrata Dev

Accurate and reliable solar flare predictions are essential to mitigate potential impacts on critical infrastructure. However, the current performance of solar flare forecasting is insufficient. In this study, we address the task of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-15 Yusuke Takagi , Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

Image restoration under adverse weather conditions (e.g., rain, snow and haze) is a fundamental computer vision problem and has important indications for various downstream applications. Different from early methods that are specially…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Zhentao Tan , Yue Wu , Qiankun Liu , Qi Chu , Le Lu , Jieping Ye , Nenghai Yu

The problem of forecasting weather has been scientifically studied for centuries due to its high impact on human lives, transportation, food production and energy management, among others. Current operational forecasting models are based on…

We consider the commonly encountered situation (e.g., in weather forecasting) where the goal is to predict the time evolution of a large, spatiotemporally chaotic dynamical system when we have access to both time series data of previous…

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

Current solar flare predictions often lack precise quantification of their reliability, resulting in frequent false alarms, particularly when dealing with datasets skewed towards extreme events. To improve the trustworthiness of space…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Jinsu Hong , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li , Yan Yang , Shi-Jinn Horng

Despite the remarkable success of diffusion models (DMs) in data generation, they exhibit specific failure cases with unsatisfactory outputs. We focus on one such limitation: the ability of DMs to learn hidden rules between image features.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Yujin Han , Andi Han , Wei Huang , Chaochao Lu , Difan Zou

The efficient placement of wind turbines relies on accurate local wind speed forecasts. Climate projections provide valuable insight into long-term wind speed conditions, yet their spatial data resolution is typically insufficient for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Solar flares, as one of the most prominent manifestations of solar activity, have a profound impact on both the Earth's space environment and human activities. As a result, accurate solar flare prediction has emerged as a central topic in…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-31 Mingfu Shao , Suo Liu , Haiqing Xu , Peng Jia , Hui Wang , Liyue Tong , Yang Bai , Chen Yang , Yuyang Li , Nan Li , Jiaben Lin

Solar irradiance clustering can enhance solar power capacity planning and help improve forecasting models by identifying similar irradiance patterns influenced by seasonal and weather changes. In this study, we adopt an efficient two-level…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Roshni Agrawal , Sivakumar Subramanian , Venkataramana Runkana

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

The added value of machine learning for weather and climate applications is measurable through performance metrics, but explaining it remains challenging, particularly for large deep learning models. Inspired by climate model hierarchies,…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Tom Beucler , Arthur Grundner , Sara Shamekh , Peter Ukkonen , Matthew Chantry , Ryan Lagerquist

Recently, data-driven deep saliency models have achieved high performance and have outperformed classical saliency models, as demonstrated by results on datasets such as the MIT300 and SALICON. Yet, there remains a large gap between the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-04-04 Sen He , Hamed R. Tavakoli , Ali Borji , Yang Mi , Nicolas Pugeault

Weather forecasting centers currently rely on statistical postprocessing methods to minimize forecast error. This improves skill but can lead to predictions that violate physical principles or disregard dependencies between variables, which…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-23 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Tom Beucler , Mark A. Liniger