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Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

The increasing number of Photovoltaic (PV) systems connected to the power grid are vulnerable to the projection of shadows from moving clouds. Global Solar Irradiance (GSI) forecasting allows smart grids to optimize the energy dispatch,…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-04 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

Ground-based whole sky cameras are extensively used for localized monitoring of clouds nowadays. They capture hemispherical images of the sky at regular intervals using a fisheye lens. In this paper, we propose a framework for estimating…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-14 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

Deep Learning has been successfully applied to many application domains, yet its advantages have been slow to emerge for time series forecasting. For example, in the well-known Makridakis (M) Competitions, hybrids of traditional statistical…

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Léa Berthomier , Bruno Pradel , Lior Perez

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

Across numerous applications, forecasting relies on numerical solvers for partial differential equations (PDEs). Although the use of deep-learning techniques has been proposed, actual applications have been restricted by the fact the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Philipp Haehnel , Jakub Marecek , Julien Monteil , Fearghal O'Donncha

Operational flare forecasting aims at providing predictions that can be used to make decisions, typically at a daily scale, about the space weather impacts of flare occurrence. This study shows that video-based deep learning can be used for…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-09-13 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

The ability to predict wind is crucial for both energy production and weather forecasting. Mechanistic models that form the basis of traditional forecasting perform poorly near the ground. In this paper, we take an alternative data-driven…

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

Various work has suggested that the memorability of an image is consistent across people, and thus can be treated as an intrinsic property of an image. Using computer vision models, we can make specific predictions about what people will…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Coen D. Needell , Wilma A. Bainbridge

Numerical models based on physics represent the state-of-the-art in earth system modeling and comprise our best tools for generating insights and predictions. Despite rapid growth in computational power, the perceived need for higher model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-10 Kate Duffy , Thomas Vandal , Weile Wang , Ramakrishna Nemani , Auroop R. Ganguly

Current trends in scientific imaging are challenged by the emerging need of integrating sophisticated machine learning with Big Data analytics platforms. This work proposes an in-memory distributed learning architecture for enabling…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-01 A. Panousopoulou , S. Farrens , K. Fotiadou , A. Woiselle , G. Tsagkatakis , J-L. Starck , P. Tsakalides

Improving irradiance forecasting is critical to further increase the share of solar in the energy mix. On a short time scale, fish-eye cameras on the ground are used to capture cloud displacements causing the local variability of the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-26 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Line of sight satellite systems, unmanned aerial vehicles, high-altitude platforms, and microwave links that operate on frequency bands such as Ka-band or higher are extremely susceptible to rain. Thus, rain fade forecasting for these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Aidin Ferdowsi , David Whitefield

Machine learning techniques have been widely used in attempts to forecast several solar datasets. Most of these approaches employ supervised machine learning algorithms which are, in general, very data hungry. This hampers the attempts to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-07 Eurico Covas