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Solar flares are 3D phenomenon but modelling a flare in 3D, including many of the important processes in the chromosphere, is a computational challenge. Accurately modelling the chromosphere is important, even if the transition region and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-09-02 Graham S. Kerr , Joel C. Allred , Vanessa Polito

Solar flares are intense bursts of electromagnetic radiation, which occur due to a rapid destabilization and reconnection of the magnetic field. While pre-flare signatures and trends have been investigated from magnetic observations prior…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-06-18 Kara L. Kniezewski , Emily I. Mason , Daniel J. Emmons , Kyle E. Fitch , Seth H. Garland

We demonstrate the ability of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to mitigate systematics in the virial scaling relation and produce dynamical mass estimates of galaxy clusters with remarkably low bias and scatter. We present two models,…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-23 Matthew Ho , Markus Michael Rau , Michelle Ntampaka , Arya Farahi , Hy Trac , Barnabas Poczos

An accurate solar wind speed model is important for space weather predictions, catastrophic event warnings, and other issues concerning solar wind - magnetosphere interaction. In this work, we construct a model based on convolutional neural…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-04-05 Rong Lin , Zhekai Luo , Jiansen He , Lun Xie , Chuanpeng Hou , Shuwei Chen

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

Lightning plays a crucial role in the Earth's climate system, yet existing parameterizations for use in forecasting and earth system models show room for improvement in capturing spatial and temporal variations in its frequency. This study…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-15 Randall Jones , Joel A. Thornton , Chris J. Wright , Robert Holzworth

Erroneous GNSS positioning, failures in spacecraft operations and power outages due to geomagnetically induced currents are severe threats originating from space weather. Having knowledge of potential impacts on modern society in advance is…

空间物理 · 物理学 2021-06-29 Carsten Baumann , Aoife E. McCloskey

We analyze the applicability of convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures for downscaling of short-range forecasts of near-surface winds on extended spatial domains. Short-range wind field forecasts (at the 100 m level) from ECMWF…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-22 Kevin Höhlein , Michael Kern , Timothy Hewson , Rüdiger Westermann

Accurate wind speed forecasting is of great importance for many economic, business and management sectors. This paper introduces a new model based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for wind speed prediction tasks. In particular, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-27 Kevin Trebing , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Automated forecasts serve important role in space weather science, by providing statistical insights to flare-trigger mechanisms, and by enabling tailor-made forecasts and high-frequency forecasts. Only by realtime forecast we can…

We apply multi-algorithm machine learning models to TESS 2-minute survey data from Sectors 1-72 to identify stellar flares. Models trained with Deep Neural Network, Random Forest, and XGBoost algorithms, respectively, utilized four flare…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-10-24 Chia-Lung Lin , Daniel Apai , Mark S. Giampapa , Wing-Huen Ip

Solar flares occur in complex sunspot groups, but it remains unclear how the probability of producing a flare of a given magnitude relates to the characteristics of the sunspot group. Here, we use Geostationary Operational Environmental…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-02-28 D. Shaun Bloomfield , Paul A. Higgins , R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher

In this study we determine scaling relationships of observed solar flares that can be used to predict upper limits of the GOES-class magnitude of solar flares. The flare prediction scheme is based on the scaling of the slowly-varying…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-07-15 Markus J. Aschwanden

Accurate rainfall forecasting is critical because it has a great impact on people's social and economic activities. Recent trends on various literatures show that Deep Learning (Neural Network) is a promising methodology to tackle many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-08 Seongchan Kim , Seungkyun Hong , Minsu Joh , Sa-kwang Song

Prediction of power outages caused by convective storms which are highly localised in space and time is of crucial importance to power grid operators. We propose a new machine learning approach to predict the damage caused by storms. This…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-03 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Convective storms are one of the severe weather hazards found during the warm season. Doppler weather radar is the only operational instrument that can frequently sample the detailed structure of convective storm which has a small spatial…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-01-06 Lei Han , Juanzhen Sun , Wei Zhang

Detecting extreme events in large datasets is a major challenge in climate science research. Current algorithms for extreme event detection are build upon human expertise in defining events based on subjective thresholds of relevant…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-05-05 Yunjie Liu , Evan Racah , Prabhat , Joaquin Correa , Amir Khosrowshahi , David Lavers , Kenneth Kunkel , Michael Wehner , William Collins

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important yet challenging problem in machine learning. Most existing approaches only forecast the series value of one future moment, ignoring the interactions between predictions of future moments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-12 Jiezhu Cheng , Kaizhu Huang , Zibin Zheng

In this work we propose a novel approach to utilize convolutional neural networks for time series forecasting. The time direction of the sequential data with spatial dimensions $D=1,2$ is considered democratically as the input of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-13 Matthias Weissenbacher

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are among the most energetic phenomena in the solar system, often impacting space weather and terrestrial technologies. In this study, we utilize SunPy, an open-source Python library for solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-01-12 Akash Vinod Shirke , Sakshi Sheshrao Charde , Balendra Pratap Singh