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It is hypothesized that short-term exposure to air pollution may influence the transmission of aerosolized pathogens such as COVID-19. We used data from 23 provinces in Italy to build a generalized additive model to investigate the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-13 Laura Albrecht , Paulina Czarnecki , Bennet Sakelaris

A diffusion process for charge distributions in a phase space is examined. The corresponding charge moves in a force field and under an action of a random field. There are the diffusion motions for coordinates and for momenta. In our model,…

数学物理 · 物理学 2008-03-19 E. M. Beniaminov

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

This paper introduces new methods to analyze the changing progression of COVID-19 cases to deaths in different waves of the pandemic. First, an algorithmic approach partitions each country or state's COVID-19 time series into a first wave…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-18 Nick James , Max Menzies , Peter Radchenko

The outbreak of COVID-19, beginning in 2019 and continuing through the time of writing, has led to renewed interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious disease. Recent works have focused on partial differential equation (PDE) models,…

Several systems can be modeled as sets of interdependent networks where each network contains distinct nodes. Diffusion processes like the spreading of a disease or the propagation of information constitute fundamental phenomena occurring…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-06-23 Mostafa Salehi , Payam Siyari , Matteo Magnani , Danilo Montesi

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to ravage the world, it is of critical significance to provide a timely risk prediction of the COVID-19 in multi-level. To implement it and evaluate the public health policies, we develop a framework with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Lingxiao Wang , Tian Xu , Till Hannes Stoecker , Horst Stoecker , Yin Jiang , Kai Zhou

The outbreak of the new virus COVID-19, beyond the human health risks and loss, has caused also very serious problems in a wide range of human activities, including the basic and applied scientific research, mainly that concern world wide…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-16 S. Maltezos

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

The novel COVID-19 pandemic is a current, major global health threat. Up till now, there is no fully approved pharmacological treatment or a vaccine. In this study, simple mathematical models were employed to examine the dynamics of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-25 Ahmed S. Elgazzar

During the COVID-19 pandemic, a major driver of new surges has been the emergence of new variants. When a new variant emerges in one or more countries, other nations monitor its spread in preparation for its potential arrival. The impact of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-12-30 Majd Al Aawar , Srikar Mutnuri , Mansooreh Montazerin , Ajitesh Srivastava

To mitigate the pandemic stemming from COVID-19, numerous nations have initiated extensive vaccination campaigns for their citizens since late 2020. While affluent countries have predominantly received vaccine allocations, fewer doses have…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-01 Hsin-Ju Chou , Jing-Yuan Ko , Sung-Po Chao

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

We present an early version of a Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased (SEIRD) mathematical model based on partial differential equations coupled with a heterogeneous diffusion model. The model describes the spatio-temporal spread…

We present a compartmental meta-population model for the spread of Covid-19 in India. Our model simulates populations at a district or state level using an epidemiological model that is appropriate to Covid-19. Different districts are…

The COVID-19 disease spreads swiftly, and nearly three months after the first positive case was confirmed in China, Coronavirus started to spread all over the United States. Some states and counties reported high number of positive cases…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Samira Ziyadidegan , Moein Razavi , Homa Pesarakli , Amir Hossein Javid , Madhav Erraguntla

The emergence of infectious disease COVID-19 has challenged and changed the world in an unprecedented manner. The integration of wireless networks with edge computing (namely wireless edge networks) brings opportunities to address this…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-10-06 Xuran Li , Shuaishuai Guo , Hong-Ning Dai , Dengwang Li

Epidemic spreading often occurs in spatially heterogeneous environments, yet how quenched heterogeneity reshapes its onset and critical dynamics remains poorly understood. The diffusive epidemic process, a minimal reaction-diffusion model…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Valentin Anfray , Hong-Yan Shih

Over a year after the start of the COVID-19 epidemics, we are still facing the virus and it is hard to correctly predict its future spread over weeks to come, as well as the impacts of potential political interventions. Current epidemic…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Benoit Doussin , Carole Adam , Didier Georges

The COVID-19 pandemic considerably affects public health systems around the world. The lack of knowledge about the virus, the extension of this phenomenon, and the speed of the evolution of the infection are all factors that highlight the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Andrea Loreggia , Anna Passarelli , Maria Silvia Pini