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Accurate precipitation forecasts are crucial for applications such as flood management, agricultural planning, water resource allocation, and weather warnings. Despite advances in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, they still…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-02 Simone Monaco , Luca Monaco , Daniele Apiletti

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

A data-driven framework is proposed towards the end of predictive modeling of complex spatio-temporal dynamics, leveraging nested non-linear manifolds. Three levels of neural networks are used, with the goal of predicting the future state…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-09-14 Jiayang Xu , Karthik Duraisamy

Reliable forecasting is critical for early warning systems and adaptive drought management. Most previous deep learning approaches focus solely on homogeneous regions and rely on single-structured data. This paper presents a hybrid neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 Julian Agudelo , Vincent Guigue , Cristina Manfredotti , Hadrien Piot

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Learning from heterogeneous data poses challenges such as combining data from various sources and of different types. Meanwhile, heterogeneous data are often associated with missingness in real-world applications due to heterogeneity and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-26 Yu Gong , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Jiawei He , Thibaut Durand , Greg Mori

Water managers in the western United States (U.S.) rely on longterm forecasts of temperature and precipitation to prepare for droughts and other wet weather extremes. To improve the accuracy of these longterm forecasts, the U.S. Bureau of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-23 Jessica Hwang , Paulo Orenstein , Judah Cohen , Karl Pfeiffer , Lester Mackey

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) model that recursively predicts key atmospheric variables with six-hour time resolution. This model uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-12-10 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana , Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay

Accurate rainfall forecasting is critical because it has a great impact on people's social and economic activities. Recent trends on various literatures show that Deep Learning (Neural Network) is a promising methodology to tackle many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-08 Seongchan Kim , Seungkyun Hong , Minsu Joh , Sa-kwang Song

Obtaining reliable precipitation estimation with high resolutions in time and space is of great importance to hydrological studies. However, accurately estimating precipitation is a challenging task over high mountainous complex terrain.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Yihan Wang , Lujun Zhang

As black box models and pretrained models gain traction in time series applications, understanding and explaining their predictions becomes increasingly vital, especially in high-stakes domains where interpretability and trust are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Khalid Oublal , Quentin Bouniot , Qi Gan , Stephan Clémençon , Zeynep Akata

Irregularly sampled time series commonly occur in several domains where they present a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. In this paper, we propose a new deep learning framework for probabilistic interpolation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

Accurate rainfall forecasting is crucial for effective disaster preparedness and mitigation in the North-East region of India, which is prone to extreme weather events such as floods and landslides. In this study, we investigated the use of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Paleti Nikhil Chowdary , Sathvika P , Pranav U , Rohan S , Sowmya V , Gopalakrishnan E A , Dhanya M

Unplanned failures in industrial hydraulic pumps can halt production and incur substantial costs. We explore two unsupervised autoencoder (AE) schemes for early fault detection: a feed-forward model that analyses individual sensor snapshots…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 P. Sánchez , K. Reyes , B. Radu , E. Fernández

Self-supervised representation learning, particularly through contrastive methods like TS2Vec, has advanced the analysis of time series data. However, these models often falter in forecasting tasks because their objective functions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Ganeshan Niroshan , Uthayasanker Thayasivam

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…