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Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

Many systems arising in biological applications are subject to periodic forcing. In these systems the forcing parameter is not only time-varying but also known to have a periodic structure. We present an approach to estimating periodic,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-11-25 Andrea Arnold , Alun L. Lloyd

Many real-world systems modeled using partial differential equations (PDEs) involve unknown parameters that must be estimated from limited, noisy system observations. While typically assumed to be constants, some of these unobserved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Andrea Arnold

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

This paper considers the Linear Minimum Variance recursive state estimation for the linear discrete time dynamic system with random state transition and measurement matrices, i.e., random parameter matrices Kalman filtering. It is shown…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Dandan Luo , Yunmin Zhu

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

In this paper, we apply the recently developed generalized parameter estimation-based observer design technique for state-affine systems to the practically important case of linear time-varying descriptor systems with uncertain parameters.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-22 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Fernando Castanos , Nikolay Nikolaev

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

We propose an online algorithm for tracking a multidimensional time-varying parameter of a time series, which is also allowed to be a predictable process with respect to the underlying time series. The algorithm is driven by a gain…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-15 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

This paper presents a Carleman-Fourier linearization method for nonlinear dynamical systems with periodic vector fields involving multiple fundamental frequencies. By employing Fourier basis functions, the nonlinear dynamical system is…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-11-19 Panpan Chen , Nader Motee , Qiyu Sun

Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

In this paper we propose a solution to the problem of parameter estimation of nonlinearly parameterized regressions--continuous or discrete time--and apply it for system identification and adaptive control. We restrict our attention to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-18 Romeo Ortega , Vladislav Gromov , Emmanuel Nuño , Anton Pyrkin , Jose Guadalupe Romero

Estimating and detecting faults is crucial in ensuring safe and efficient automated systems. In the presence of disturbances, noise or varying system dynamics, such estimation is even more challenging. To address this challenge, this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-13 Chris van der Ploeg , Emilia Silvas , Nathan van de Wouw , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani
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