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Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) aims to predict future process behavior during ongoing process executions based on event log data. Especially, techniques for the next activity and timestamp prediction can help to improve the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-06 An Nguyen , Srijeet Chatterjee , Sven Weinzierl , Leo Schwinn , Martin Matzner , Bjoern Eskofier

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Ricardo Inácio , Carlos Soares

Recently, channel-independent methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance in multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Despite reducing overfitting risks, these methods miss potential opportunities in utilizing channel dependence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-14 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Thermostatically-controlled loads have a significant impact on electricity demand after service is restored following an outage, a phenomenon known as cold load pick-up (CLPU). Active management of CLPU is becoming an essential tool for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-16 Sanja Bajic , François Bouffard , Hannah Michalska , Géza Joós

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano

Predicting ambulance demand accurately at a fine resolution in time and space (e.g., every hour and 1 km$^2$) is critical for staff / fleet management and dynamic deployment. There are several challenges: though the dataset is typically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-20 Zhengyi Zhou

Sparse and intermittent demand forecasting in supply chains presents a critical challenge, as frequent zero-demand periods hinder traditional model accuracy and impact inventory management. We propose and evaluate a Model-Router framework…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Qiwen Zhang

While the advanced machine learning algorithms are effective in load forecasting, they often suffer from low data utilization, and hence their superior performance relies on massive datasets. This motivates us to design machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-17 Qiyuan Wang , Zhihui Chen , Chenye Wu

User demand on the computational resources of cloud computing platforms varies over time. These variations in demand can be predictable or unpredictable, resulting in `bursty' fluctuations in demand. Furthermore, demand can arrive in…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2017-10-13 Brendan Patch , Thomas Taimre

Mean aortic pressure (MAP) is a major determinant of perfusion in all organs systems. The ability to forecast MAP would enhance the ability of physicians to estimate prognosis of the patient and assist in early detection of hemodynamic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-20 Eliza Huang , Rui Wang , Uma Chandrasekaran , Rose Yu

As one of the important functions of the intelligent transportation system (ITS), supply-demand prediction for autonomous vehicles provides a decision basis for its control. In this paper, we present two prediction models (i.e. ARLP model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-28 Zikai Zhang , Yidong Li , Hairong Dong , Yizhe You , Fengping Zhao

In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Hongzhi Wang , Yang Song , Shihan Tang

Recommending the right products is the central problem in recommender systems, but the right products should also be recommended at the right time to meet the demands of users, so as to maximize their values. Users' demands, implying strong…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-03-04 Ting Bai , Pan Du , Wayne Xin Zhao , Ji-Rong Wen , Jian-Yun Nie

An accurate forecast of electric demand is essential for the optimal design of a generation system. For district installations, the projected lifespan may extend one or two decades. The reliance on a single-year forecast, combined with a…

Hematotoxicity, drug-induced damage to the blood-forming system, is a frequent side effect of cytotoxic chemotherapy and poses a significant challenge in clinical practice due to its high inter-patient variability and limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Marie Steinacker , Yuri Kheifetz , Markus Scholz

Accurate blood glucose prediction can enable novel interventions for type 1 diabetes treatment, including personalized insulin and dietary adjustments. Although recent advances in transformer-based architectures have demonstrated the power…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-05-15 Meryem Altin Karagoz , Marc D. Breton , Anas El Fathi

Blood cultures are often over ordered without clear justification, straining healthcare resources and contributing to inappropriate antibiotic use pressures worsened by the global shortage. In study of 135483 emergency department (ED) blood…