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Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu-time expensive…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-25 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

Many methods have been proposed to quantify the predictive uncertainty associated with the outputs of deep neural networks. Among them, ensemble methods often lead to state-of-the-art results, though they require modifications to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Zhiyun Lu , Eugene Ie , Fei Sha

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

We propose an efficient transfer Bayesian optimization method, which finds the maximum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function by using data on related optimization tasks. Our method uses auxiliary information that represents the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-18 Tomoharu Iwata , Takuma Otsuka

Stochastic simulation models effectively capture complex system dynamics but are often too slow for real-time decision-making. Traditional metamodeling techniques learn relationships between simulator inputs and a single output summary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 L. Jeff Hong , Yanxi Hou , Qingkai Zhang , Xiaowei Zhang

Bayesian optimization is a powerful paradigm to optimize black-box functions based on scarce and noisy data. Its data efficiency can be further improved by transfer learning from related tasks. While recent transfer models meta-learn a…

Challenges in multi-fidelity modeling relate to accuracy, uncertainty estimation and high-dimensionality. A novel additive structure is introduced in which the highest fidelity solution is written as a sum of the lowest fidelity solution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-09 Wei W. Xing , Akeel A. Shah , Peng Wang , Shandian Zhe Qian Fu , Robert. M. Kirby

We introduce a latent 3D representation that models 3D surfaces as probability density functions in 3D, i.e., p(x,y,z), with flow-matching. Our representation is specifically designed for consumption by machine learning models, offering…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Jen-Hao Rick Chang , Yuyang Wang , Miguel Angel Bautista Martin , Jiatao Gu , Xiaoming Zhao , Josh Susskind , Oncel Tuzel

To solve a machine learning problem, one typically needs to perform data preprocessing, modeling, and hyperparameter tuning, which is known as model selection and hyperparameter optimization.The goal of automated machine learning (AutoML)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-19 Weilin Zhou , Frederic Precioso

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

Black box models in machine learning have demonstrated excellent predictive performance in complex problems and high-dimensional settings. However, their lack of transparency and interpretability restrict the applicability of such models in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Numair Sani , Jaron Lee , Razieh Nabi , Ilya Shpitser

We present a unified view of likelihood based Gaussian progress regression for simulation experiments exhibiting input-dependent noise. Replication plays an important role in that context, however previous methods leveraging replicates have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-18 Mickael Binois , Robert B. Gramacy , Michael Ludkovski

Capturing the correlation emerging between constituents of many-body systems accurately is one of the key challenges for the appropriate description of various systems whose properties are underpinned by quantum mechanical fundamentals.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-08-17 Yannic Rath

Dimensionality reduction represents a crucial step in extracting meaningful insights from Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations. Conventional approaches, including linear methods such as principal component analysis as well as various…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2025-10-10 Georg Diez , Nele Dethloff , Gerhard Stock

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

The analysis of complex computer simulations, often involving functional data, presents unique statistical challenges. Conventional regression methods, such as function-on-function regression, typically associate functional outcomes with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-11 R. Jacob Andros , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Devin Francom , Donatella Pasqualini

Many modern data sets are sampled with error from complex high-dimensional surfaces. Methods such as tensor product splines or Gaussian processes are effective/well suited for characterizing a surface in two or three dimensions but may…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-16 Matthew W. Wheeler

This paper introduces a surrogate modeling scheme based on Grassmannian manifold learning to be used for cost-efficient predictions of high-dimensional stochastic systems. The method exploits subspace-structured features of each solution by…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-08-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael D. Shields

We propose a machine learning framework for parameter estimation of single mode Gaussian quantum states. Under a Bayesian framework, our approach estimates parameters of suitable prior distributions from measured data. For phase-space…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-08-16 Neel Kanth Kundu , Matthew R. McKay , Ranjan K. Mallik

Bayesian Optimization, the application of Bayesian function approximation to finding optima of expensive functions, has exploded in popularity in recent years. In particular, much attention has been paid to improving its efficiency on…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-18 Mickael Binois , Nathan Wycoff