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We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents, and reconnecting those links with the rest of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-07-11 Damian H. Zanette

In this paper we conduct a simulation study of the spread of an epidemic like COVID-19 with temporary immunity on finite spatial and non-spatial network models. In particular, we assume that an epidemic spreads stochastically on a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-16 Tim Hulshof , Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy

Epidemic spreading can be suppressed by the introduction of containment measures such as social distancing and lock downs. Yet, when such measures are relaxed, new epidemic waves and infection cycles may occur. Here we explore this issue in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-07 Fabio Caccioli , Daniele De Martino

Population inhomogeneity, in the variation of the individual social contact networks and the individual infectious-recovery rates, renders the dynamics of infectious disease spreading uncertain. As a consequence the overlaying economical…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-01 Jan B. Broekaert , Davide La Torre

The dynamics of epidemics depend on how people's behavior changes during an outbreak. At the beginning of the epidemic, people do not know about the virus, then, after the outbreak of epidemics and alarm, they begin to comply with the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-29 I. A. Kastalskiy , E. V. Pankratova , E. M. Mirkes , V. B. Kazantsev , A. N. Gorban

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

Absent a drug or vaccine, containing epidemic outbreaks is achieved by means of social distancing, specifically mobility restrictions and lock-downs. Such measures impose a hurtful toll on the economy, and are difficult to sustain for…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-24 Dror Meidan , Nava Schulmann , Reuven Cohen , Simcha Haber , Eyal Yaniv , Ronit Sarid , Baruch Barzel

This paper combines a canonical epidemiology model of disease dynamics with government policy of lockdown and testing, and agents' decision to social distance in order to avoid getting infected. The model is calibrated with data on deaths…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-10 Shomak Chakrabarti , Ilia Krasikov , Rohit Lamba

In the wake of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, there has been heightened interest from applied mathematicians in infectious disease modelling. Modelling efforts often focus on predicting whether diseases are likely to be eliminated or, instead,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-22 Joshua Looker , Kat S. Rock , Louise Dyson

As of July, 2020, acute respiratory syndrome caused by coronavirus COVID-19 is spreading over the world and causing severe economic damages. While minimizing human contact is effective in managing the outbreak, it causes severe economic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-28 Takeshi Kano , Kotaro Yasui , Taishi Mikami , Munehiro Asally , Akio Ishiguro

To face pandemics like the one caused by COVID-19, resources such as personal protection equipment (PPE) are needed to reduce the infection rate and protect those in close contact with patients (Heymann and Shindo, 2020; Klompas et al.,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-28 G. K. den Nijs , J. Edivaldo , B. D. L. Chatel , J. F. Uleman , M. Olde Rikkert , H. Wertheim , R. Quax

The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Ljupco Kocarev

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

We study the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an infectious disease. In this stochastic process, there are two competing mechanism: infection and recovery. Susceptible individuals may contract the disease…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-05-08 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

Social interactions are stratified in multiple contexts and are subject to complex temporal dynamics. The systematic study of these two features of social systems has started only very recently mainly thanks to the development of multiplex…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-12-12 Quan-Hui Liu , Xinyue Xiong , Qian Zhang , Nicola Perra

We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

The gig economy has grown significantly in recent years, driven by the emergence of various facilitating platforms. Triggering substantial shifts to labour markets across the world, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated this growth. To…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-27 Bryce Morsky , Tyler Meadows , Felicia Magpantay , Troy Day

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

A random fuse network, or equivalently a two-dimensional spring network with quenched disorder, is subjected to a constant load and thermal noise, and studied by means of numerical simulations. Rupture is thermally activated and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-16 Alessio Guarino , Loïc Vanel , Riccardo Scorretti , Sergio Ciliberto