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In many families of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation is intractable because the normalization constant for the density which enters into the likelihood function is not easily available. The score matching estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-03 Peter G. M. Forbes , Steffen Lauritzen

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Gibbs random fields (GRF) are polymorphous statistical models that can be used to analyse different types of dependence, in particular for spatially correlated data. However, when those models are faced with the challenge of selecting a…

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle

Many machine learning tasks can be formulated in terms of predicting structured outputs. In frameworks such as the structured support vector machine (SVM-Struct) and the structured perceptron, discriminative functions are learned by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-05 Kui Tang , Nicholas Ruozzi , David Belanger , Tony Jebara

We introduce Sequential Neural Posterior Score Estimation (SNPSE), a score-based method for Bayesian inference in simulator-based models. Our method, inspired by the remarkable success of score-based methods in generative modelling,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Louis Sharrock , Jack Simons , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

Statistical models are often defined by a generative process for simulating synthetic data, but this can lead to intractable likelihoods. Likelihood free inference (LFI) methods enable Bayesian inference to be performed in this case.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-05 David Chen , Xinwei Li , Eui-Jin Kim , Prateek Bansal , David Nott

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

Likelihood-free inference (LFI) methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, have become commonplace for conducting inference in complex models. Many approaches are based on summary statistics or discrepancies derived from synthetic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-06 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Lucas Kock , David J. Nott

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Max Welling , Sridevi Parise

Learning of continuous exponential family distributions with unbounded support remains an important area of research for both theory and applications in high-dimensional statistics. In recent years, score matching has become a widely used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Devin Smedira , Abhijith Jayakumar , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is one of the most popular "likelihood-free" methods. These methods have been applied in a wide range of fields by providing solutions to intractable likelihood problems in which exact Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Chaya Weerasinghe , David T. Frazier , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Christopher Drovandi

For stochastic models with intractable likelihood functions, approximate Bayesian computation offers a way of approximating the true posterior through repeated comparisons of observations with simulated model outputs in terms of a small set…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Firat Ozdemir , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Antonietta Mira

This preprint has been reviewed and recommended by Peer Community In Evolutionary Biology (http://dx.doi.org/10.24072/pci.evolbiol.100036). Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has grown into a standard methodology that manages Bayesian…

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has become increasingly prominent as a method for conducting parameter inference in a range of challenging statistical problems, most notably those characterized by an intractable likelihood function.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-21 David T. Frazier , Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Gael M. Martin , Brendan P. M. McCabe

Cosmological inference becomes increasingly difficult when complex data-generating processes cannot be modeled by simple probability distributions. With the ever-increasing size of data sets in cosmology, there is increasing burden placed…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Anja Weyant , Chad Schafer , W. Michael Wood-Vasey

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a family of statistical inference techniques, which is increasingly used in biology and other scientific fields. Its main benefit is to be applicable to models for which the computation of the model…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-12-25 Franck Jabot , Guillaume Lagarrigues , Benoît Courbaud , Nicolas Dumoulin