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Human engagement in narrative is partially driven by reasoning about discourse relations between narrative events, and the expectations about what is likely to happen next that results from such reasoning. Researchers in NLP have tackled…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2017-09-01 Zhichao Hu , Elahe Rahimtoroghi , Larissa Munishkina , Reid Swanson , Marilyn A. Walker

This paper develops a robust and efficient method for policy learning from observational data in the presence of unobserved confounding, complementing existing instrumental variable (IV) based approaches. We employ the marginal sensitivity…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-29 Zequn Jin , Gaoqian Xu , Xi Zheng , Yahong Zhou

In multicenter research, individual-level data are often protected against sharing across sites. To overcome the barrier of data sharing, many distributed algorithms, which only require sharing aggregated information, have been developed.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Rui Duan , Yang Ning , Yong Chen

Inferring the causal effect of a non-randomly assigned exposure on an outcome requires adjusting for common causes of the exposure and outcome to avoid biased conclusions. Notwithstanding the efforts investigators routinely make to measure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Wen Wei Loh , Stijn Vansteelandt

Causal disentanglement aims to learn about latent causal factors behind data, holding the promise to augment existing representation learning methods in terms of interpretability and extrapolation. Recent advances establish identifiability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Ryan Welch , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

The assumption that data samples are independent and identically distributed (iid) is standard in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, in some settings, such as social networks, infectious disease modeling, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-06 Eli Sherman , Ilya Shpitser

Auction data often contain information on only the most competitive bids as opposed to all bids. The usual measurement error approaches to unobserved heterogeneity are inapplicable due to dependence among order statistics. We bridge this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-25 Yao Luo , Ruli Xiao

We introduce OpportunityFinder, a code-less framework for performing a variety of causal inference studies with panel data for non-expert users. In its current state, OpportunityFinder only requires users to provide raw observational data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Huy Nguyen , Prince Grover , Devashish Khatwani

Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Ricardo Silva , Richard Scheines , Clark Glymour , Peter L. Spirtes

Unobserved confounding arises when an unmeasured feature influences both the treatment and the outcome, leading to biased causal effect estimates. This issue undermines observational studies in fields like economics, medicine, ecology or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Alexander Merkov , David Rohde , Alexandre Gilotte , Benjamin Heymann

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

I develop a new identification strategy for treatment effects when noisy measurements of unobserved confounding factors are available. I use proxy variables to construct a random variable conditional on which treatment variables become…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-30 Kenichi Nagasawa

Recommender systems aim to recommend new items to users by learning user and item representations. In practice, these representations are highly entangled as they consist of information about multiple factors, including user's interests,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-04-18 Paras Sheth , Ruocheng Guo , Lu Cheng , Huan Liu , K. Selçuk Candan

Data sharing between online trackers and advertisers is a key component in online behavioral advertising. This sharing can be facilitated through a variety of processes, including those not observable to the user's browser. The…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-07-25 Maaz Bin Musa , Rishab Nithyanand

Unobserved confounding is a key challenge when estimating causal effects from a treatment on an outcome in scientific applications. In this work, we assume that we observe a single, potentially multi-dimensional proxy variable of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Silvan Vollmer , Niklas Pfister , Sebastian Weichwald

We highlight that match fixed effects, represented by the coefficients of interaction terms involving dummy variables for two elements, lack identification without specific restrictions on parameters. Consequently, the coefficients…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-22 Suguru Otani , Tohya Sugano

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a challenging problem, especially with high dimensional data and in the presence of unobserved variables. The available data-driven methods for tackling the problem either provide an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-25 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jiji Zhang , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

We explore algorithms to select actions in the causal bandit setting where the learner can choose to intervene on a set of random variables related by a causal graph, and the learner sequentially chooses interventions and observes a sample…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Alan Malek , Virginia Aglietti , Silvia Chiappa

Recent work has focused on the potential and pitfalls of causal identification in observational studies with multiple simultaneous treatments. Building on previous work, we show that even if the conditional distribution of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Jiajing Zheng , Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama