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When the sample size is not too small, M-estimators of regression coefficients are approximately normal and unbiased. This leads to the familiar frequentist inference in terms of normality-based confidence intervals and p-values. From a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-19 Erik van Zwet

Importance Sampling (IS) is a method for approximating expectations under a target distribution using independent samples from a proposal distribution and the associated importance weights. In many applications, the target distribution is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-14 Gabriel Cardoso , Sergey Samsonov , Achille Thin , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

The horseshoe prior has proven to be a noteworthy alternative for sparse Bayesian estimation, but has previously suffered from two problems. First, there has been no systematic way of specifying a prior for the global shrinkage…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

Reconstructing a gene network from high-throughput molecular data is often a challenging task, as the number of parameters to estimate easily is much larger than the sample size. A conventional remedy is to regularize or penalize the model…

In many regression settings the unknown coefficients may have some known structure, for instance they may be ordered in space or correspond to a vectorized matrix or tensor. At the same time, the unknown coefficients may be sparse, with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-28 Maryclare Griffin , Peter D. Hoff

Dropout regularization of deep neural networks has been a mysterious yet effective tool to prevent overfitting. Explanations for its success range from the prevention of "co-adapted" weights to it being a form of cheap Bayesian inference.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Eric Nalisnick , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Padhraic Smyth

Over the past two decades, shrinkage priors have become increasingly popular, and many proposals can be found in the literature. These priors aim to shrink small effects to zero while maintaining true large effects. Horseshoe-type priors…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-14 Maria De Iorio , Andreas Heinecke , Beatrice Franzolini , Rafael Cabral

The truncated singular value decomposition may be used to find the solution of linear discrete ill-posed problems in conjunction with Tikhonov regularization and requires the estimation of a regularization parameter that balances between…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-08-16 Rosemary A. Renaut , Anthony W. Helmstetter , Saeed Vatankhah

Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

We provide a framework for assessing the default nature of a prior distribution using the property of regular variation, which we study for global-local shrinkage priors. In particular, we demonstrate the horseshoe priors, originally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-17 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard

We propose a generalized double Pareto prior for Bayesian shrinkage estimation and inferences in linear models. The prior can be obtained via a scale mixture of Laplace or normal distributions, forming a bridge between the Laplace and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Artin Armagan , David Dunson , Jaeyong Lee

It is common to hold prior beliefs that are not characterized by points in the parameter space but instead are relational in nature and can be described by a linear subspace. While some previous work has been done to account for such prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-17 Daniel K. Sewell

We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Kei Kobayashi , Fumiyasu Komaki

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

The power prior is a popular tool for constructing informative prior distributions based on historical data. The method consists of raising the likelihood to a discounting factor in order to control the amount of information borrowed from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Luiz Max Carvalho , Joseph G. Ibrahim

The prior distribution for the unknown model parameters plays a crucial role in the process of statistical inference based on Bayesian methods. However, specifying suitable priors is often difficult even when detailed prior knowledge is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-18 Marcelo Hartmann , Georgi Agiashvili , Paul Bürkner , Arto Klami

We propose a new prediction method for multivariate linear regression problems where the number of features is less than the sample size but the number of outcomes is extremely large. Many popular procedures, such as penalized regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Yihe Wang , Sihai Dave Zhao

Marginalising out uncertain quantities within the internal representations or parameters of neural networks is of central importance for a wide range of learning techniques, such as empirical, variational or full Bayesian methods. We set…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-21 Justin Bayer , Maximilian Karl , Daniela Korhammer , Patrick van der Smagt

To recover a low rank structure from a noisy matrix, truncated singular value decomposition has been extensively used and studied. Recent studies suggested that the signal can be better estimated by shrinking the singular values. We pursue…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-25 Julie Josse , Sylvain Sardy
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