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相关论文: Rethinking recidivism through a causal lens

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Unobserved confounding is one of the greatest challenges for causal discovery. The case in which unobserved variables have a widespread effect on many of the observed ones is particularly difficult because most pairs of variables are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-26 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

Causal inference methods for observational data are increasingly recognized as a valuable complement to randomized clinical trials (RCTs). They can, under strong assumptions, emulate RCTs or help refine their focus. Our approach to causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-14 Carlo Berzuini , Davide Luciani , Hiren C. Patel

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

Causal inference methods can be applied to estimate the effect of a point exposure or treatment on an outcome of interest using data from observational studies. For example, in the Women's Interagency HIV Study, it is of interest to…

This paper proposes a framework that incorporates the two-way fixed effects model as a special case to conduct causal inference with a continuous treatment. Treatments are allowed to change over time and potential outcomes are dependent on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Zhiguo Xiao , Peikai Wu

The estimation of causal effects with observational data continues to be a very active research area. In recent years, researchers have developed new frameworks which use machine learning to relax classical assumptions necessary for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Jonathan Fuhr , Philipp Berens , Dominik Papies

Causal DAGs(Directed Acyclic Graphs) are usually considered in a 2D plane. Edges indicate causal effects' directions and imply their corresponding time-passings. Due to the natural restriction of statistical models, effect estimation is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Jia Li , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

The discovery of discriminatory bias in human or automated decision making is a task of increasing importance and difficulty, exacerbated by the pervasive use of machine learning and data mining. Currently, discrimination discovery largely…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Bilal Qureshi , Faisal Kamiran , Asim Karim , Salvatore Ruggieri , Dino Pedreschi

In many application areas---lending, education, and online recommenders, for example---fairness and equity concerns emerge when a machine learning system interacts with a dynamically changing environment to produce both immediate and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Elliot Creager , David Madras , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

We study causal discovery from observational data in linear Gaussian systems affected by \emph{mixed latent confounding}, where some unobserved factors act broadly across many variables while others influence only small subsets. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , James O'quinn , James P. Long

We consider a binary response which is potentially affected by a set of continuous variables. Of special interest is the causal effect on the response due to an intervention on a specific variable. The latter can be meaningfully determined…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-11 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni

We present new methods to estimate causal effects retrospectively from micro data with the assistance of a machine learning ensemble. This approach overcomes two important limitations in conventional methods like regression modeling or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Cyrus Samii , Laura Paler , Sarah Zukerman Daly

Objectives: We study interpretable recidivism prediction using machine learning (ML) models and analyze performance in terms of prediction ability, sparsity, and fairness. Unlike previous works, this study trains interpretable models that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-15 Caroline Wang , Bin Han , Bhrij Patel , Cynthia Rudin

We give a selective review of some recent developments in causal inference, intended for researchers who are not familiar with graphical models and causality, and with a focus on methods that are applicable to large data sets. We mainly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-26 Marloes H. Maathuis , Preetam Nandy

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

Causal discovery aims to infer causal relationships among variables from observational data, typically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Most existing methods assume independent and identically distributed observations, an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

We study how to learn optimal interventions sequentially given causal information represented as a causal graph along with associated conditional distributions. Causal modeling is useful in real world problems like online advertisement…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Yangyi Lu , Amirhossein Meisami , Ambuj Tewari , Zhenyu Yan

Learning directed acyclic graph (DAG) that describes the causality of observed data is a very challenging but important task. Due to the limited quantity and quality of observed data, and non-identifiability of causal graph, it is almost…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Dezhi Yang , Guoxian Yu , Jun Wang , Zhengtian Wu , Maozu Guo

Directed acyclic graphical (DAG) models are a powerful tool for representing causal relationships among jointly distributed random variables, especially concerning data from across different experimental settings. However, it is not always…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Francisco Madaleno , Pratik Misra , Alex Markham

Choices based on observational data depend on beliefs about which correlations reflect causality. An agent predicts the consequence of available actions using a dataset and her subjective beliefs about causality represented by a directed…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-21 Andrew Ellis , Heidi Christina Thysen