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Machine learning has recently been widely adopted to address the managerial decision making problems, in which the decision maker needs to be able to interpret the contributions of individual attributes in an explicit form. However, there…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-28 Mengzhuo Guo , Qingpeng Zhang , Xiuwu Liao , Frank Youhua Chen , Daniel Dajun Zeng

Despite broad interest in self-organizing systems, there are few quantitative, experimentally-applicable criteria for self-organization. The existing criteria all give counter-intuitive results for important cases. In this Letter, we…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2011-11-10 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi , Robert Haslinger

An analyst observes an agent take a sequence of actions. The analyst does not have access to the agent's information and ponders whether the observed actions could be justified through a rational Bayesian model with a known utility…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-08 Henrique de Oliveira , Rohit Lamba

Due to the penetration of renewable energy resources and load deviation, uncertainty handling is one of the main challenges for power system; therefore the need for accurate decision-making in a power system under the penetration of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-26 Mohammad Hemmati , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo , Alireza Soroudi

Discrete Choice Modelling serves as a robust framework for modelling human choice behaviour across various disciplines. Building a choice model is a semi structured research process that involves a combination of a priori assumptions,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-09 Gabriel Nova , Sander van Cranenburgh , Stephane Hess

Recommender systems research is concerned with many aspects of recommender system behavior and effects than simply its effectiveness, and simulation can be a powerful tool for uncovering these effects. In this brief position paper, I…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Michael D. Ekstrand

Models in Multicriteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) can be analyzed by means of an importance index and an interaction index for every group of criteria. We consider first discrete models in MCDA, without further restriction, which amounts to…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-03-21 Mustapha Ridaoui , Michel Grabisch , Christophe Labreuche

Uncertainty is a pervasive challenge in decision and risk management and it is usually studied by quantification and modeling. Interestingly, engineers and other decision makers usually manage uncertainty with strategies such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-24 Alexander Gutfraind

In this paper we propose an approach to build a decision support system that can help emergency planners and responders to detect and manage emergency situations. The internal mechanism of the system is independent from the treated…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2009-05-28 Fahem Kebair , Frederic Serin

Dynamic discrete choice models often discretize the state vector and restrict its dimension in order to achieve valid inference. I propose a novel two-stage estimator for the set-identified structural parameter that incorporates a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-07 Vira Semenova

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Optimization of complex functions, such as the output of computer simulators, is a difficult task that has received much attention in the literature. A less studied problem is that of optimization under unknown constraints, i.e., when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-07-06 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Recently several European National Measurement Institutes have established traceable calibration methods for dynamic mechanical quantities, e.g., dynamic force, torque and pressure. However, the use in industry and elsewhere of dynamic…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-12 Trevor Esward , Sascha Eichstädt , Ian Smith , Thomas Bruns , Peter Davis , Peter Harris

Bilevel optimization is a powerful tool for modeling hierarchical decision making processes. However, the resulting problems are challenging to solve - both in theory and practice. Fortunately, there have been significant algorithmic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-25 Yasmine Beck , Ivana Ljubić , Martin Schmidt

A subjective expected utility policy making centre, managing complex, dynamic systems, needs to draw on the expertise of a variety of disparate panels of experts and integrate this information coherently. To achieve this, diverse supporting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-21 Jim Q. Smith , Martine J. Barons , Manuele Leonelli

In this paper a class of discrete optimization problems with uncertain costs is discussed. The uncertainty is modeled by introducing a scenario set containing a finite number of cost scenarios. A probability distribution in the scenario set…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-10-09 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

This work explores dynamics existing in interactions between players. The dynamic system of games is a new attitude to modeling in which an event is modeled using several games. The model allows us to analyze the interplay capabilities and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-09 Gholamreza Askari , Madjid Eshaghi Gordji , Ali Zarei

Designing controllers for systems affected by model uncertainty can prove to be a challenge, especially when seeking the optimal compromise between the conflicting goals of identification and control. This trade-off is explicitly taken into…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-30 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Max Schlichting , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Mathematical models simulate various events under different conditions, enabling an early overview of the system to be implemented in practice, reducing the waste of resources and in less time. In project optimization, these models play a…