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Bayesian model calibration is central to digital twins and computer experiments, as it aligns model outputs with field observations by estimating calibration parameters and correcting systematic model bias. Classical Bayesian calibration…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Yang Xu , Chiwoo Park

A framework for creating and updating digital twins for dynamical systems from a library of physics-based functions is proposed. The sparse Bayesian machine learning is used to update and derive an interpretable expression for the digital…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Tapas Tripura , Aarya Sheetal Desai , Sondipon Adhikari , Souvik Chakraborty

Computer model calibration is a crucial step in building a reliable computer model. In the face of massive physical observations, a fast estimation for the calibration parameters is urgently needed. To alleviate the computational burden, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Shurui Lv , Yan Wang , Jun Yu

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

We propose a \textit{guided multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization} framework for data-efficient controller tuning that integrates corrected digital twin simulations with real-world measurements. The method targets closed-loop systems with…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Mahdi Nobar , Jürg Keller , Alessandro Forino , John Lygeros , Alisa Rupenyan

Data assimilation combines information from physical observations and numerical simulation results to obtain better estimates of the state and parameters of a physical system. A wide class of physical systems of interest have solutions that…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-02 Amit N. Subrahmanya , Adrian Sandu

Digital twins are virtual systems designed to predict how a real-world process will evolve in response to interventions. This modelling paradigm holds substantial promise in many applications, but rigorous procedures for assessing their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Rob Cornish , Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

We develop a Bayesian approach called Bayesian projected calibration to address the problem of calibrating an imperfect computer model using observational data from a complex physical system. The calibration parameter and the physical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-08 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

Data assimilation plays a crucial role in numerical modeling, enabling the integration of real-world observations into mathematical models to enhance the accuracy and predictive capabilities of simulations. This approach is widely applied…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-08 Alexander Lobbe , Dan Crisan , Oana Lang

This paper presents a novel methodological framework, called the Actor-Simulator, that incorporates the calibration of digital twins into model-based reinforcement learning for more effective control of stochastic systems with complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Hua Zheng , Wei Xie , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Keilung Choy

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated or hyperbolic evolutionary problems, and observations. The method is referred to as the dynamic likelihood filter because it exploits the model physics to dynamically…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-04-26 Juan M. Restrepo

Axial piston pumps are indispensable power sources in high-stakes fluid power systems, including aerospace, marine, and heavy machinery applications. Their operational reliability is frequently compromised by compound faults that…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-03-17 Chang Dong , Jianfeng Tao , Chengliang Liu

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

The real-time supervision of production processes is a common challenge across several industries. It targets process component monitoring and its predictive maintenance in order to ensure safety, uninterrupted production and maintain high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Osimone Imhogiemhe , Yoann Jus , Hubert Lejeune , Saïd Moussaoui

Particle filters are a powerful and flexible tool for performing inference on state-space models. They involve a collection of samples evolving over time through a combination of sampling and re-sampling steps. The re-sampling step is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-17 Deborshee Sen , Alexandre Thiery , Ajay Jasra

This paper considers the computer model calibration problem and provides a general frequentist solution. Under the proposed framework, the data model is semi-parametric with a nonparametric discrepancy function which accounts for any…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-14 Raymond K. W. Wong , Curtis B. Storlie , Thomas C. M. Lee

Physics-informed dynamical system models form critical components of digital twins of the built environment. These digital twins enable the design of energy-efficient infrastructure, but must be properly calibrated to accurately reflect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-30 Ankush Chakrabarty , Gordon Wichern , Christopher Laughman

One of the challenges in twinned systems is ensuring the digital twin remains a valid representation of the system it twins. Depending on the type of twinning occurring, it is either trivial, such as in dashboarding/visualizations that…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Joost Mertens , Joachim Denil

Wireless digital twins can be leveraged to provide site-specific synthetic channel information through precise physical modeling and signal propagation simulations. This can help reduce the overhead of channel state information (CSI)…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-21 Hao Luo , Saeed R. Khosravirad , Ahmed Alkhateeb
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