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Raw data on the cumulative number of deaths at a country level generally indicate a spatially variable distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 disease. An important issue is to determine whether this spatial pattern is a consequence of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-21 Lionel Roques , Olivier Bonnefon , Virgile Baudrot , Samuel Soubeyrand , Henri Berestycki

During the COVID-19 pandemic, built environments in dense urban settings become major sources of infection. This study tests the difference of demographics and surrounding built environments across high-, medium- and low-infection…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-21 Weipan Xu , Ying Li , Xun Li

The ongoing pandemic of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019. It has already affected more than 300,000 people, with the number of deaths nearing 13000 across the world. As it has been posing a huge…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Soudeep Deb , Manidipa Majumdar

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

Currently, the global situation of COVID-19 is aggravating, pressingly calling for efficient control and prevention measures. Understanding spreading pattern of COVID-19 has been widely recognized as a vital step for implementing…

The emergence of Covid-19 requires new effective tools for epidemiological surveillance. Spatio-temporal disease mapping models, which allow dealing with highly disaggregated spatial and temporal units of analysis, are a priority in this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Jorge Mateu , Paloma Botella-Rocamora

In late December 2019, the novel coronavirus (Sars-Cov-2) and the resulting disease COVID-19 were first identified in Wuhan China. The disease slipped through containment measures, with the first known case in the United States being…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-07 Mostafa Rezapour , Lucas Hansen

This paper introduces a novel approach to spatio-temporal data analysis using metric geometry to study the propagation of COVID-19 across the United States. Using a geodesic Wasserstein metric, we analyse discrepancies between the density…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-08 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

The spatial diffusion of epidemic disease follows distance decay law in geography, but different diffusion processes may be modeled by different mathematical functions under different spatio-temporal conditions. This paper is devoted to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-08-09 Yanguang Chen , Yajing Li , Yuqing Long , Shuo Feng

We model the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic in China. We use early reported case data to predict the cumulative number of reported cases to a final size. The key features of our model are the timing of implementation of major public policies…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-02-28 Zhihua Liu , Pierre Magal , Ousmane Seydi , Glenn Webb

As infected and vaccinated population increases, some countries decided not to impose non-pharmaceutical intervention measures anymore and to coexist with COVID-19. However, we do not have a comprehensive understanding of its consequence ,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Chen Zhao , Jialu Zhang , Xiaoyue Hou , Chi Ho Yeung , An Zeng

Using network analysis, this paper develops a multidimensional methodological framework for understanding the uneven (cross-country) spread of COVID-19 in the context of the global interconnected economy. The globally interconnected system…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-28 Dimitrios Tsiotas , Vassilis Tselios

Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

Parking demand forecasting and behaviour analysis have received increasing attention in recent years because of their critical role in mitigating traffic congestion and understanding travel behaviours. However, previous studies usually only…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-18 Shuhui Gong , Xiaopeng Mo , Rui Cao , Yu Liu , Wei Tu , Ruibin Bai

In December 2019, the first patients in Wuhan, China were diagnosed with a primary atypical pneumonia, which showed to be unknown and contagious. Since then, known as COVID-19 disease, the responsible viral pathogen, SARS-CoV-2, has spread…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-01-30 Philipp Heider

Understanding the spatio-temporal patterns of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is essential to construct public health interventions. Spatially referenced data can provide richer opportunities to understand the mechanism of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-15 Jaewoo Park , Seorim Yi , Won Chang , Jorge Mateu

The design of data-driven dashboards that inform municipalities on ongoing changes in infections within their community is addressed in this research. Daily reports of Covid-19 infections published by the state of Wisconsin as the initial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Emi Aoki , Arkajyoti Sinha , Charles Thompson , Kavitha Chandra

Governments around the world have implemented preventive measures against the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In this study, we consider a multivariate discrete-time Markov model to analyze the propagation of COVID-19 across…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-18 Tatsushi Oka , Wei Wei , Dan Zhu

The rapid transmission of the highly contagious novel coronavirus has been represented through several data-guided approaches across targeted geographies, in an attempt to understand when the pandemic will be under control and imposed…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-05 Joydeep Munshi , Indranil Roy , Ganesh Balasubramanian

The main goal of this work is to present a new model able to deal with potentially misreported continuous time series. The proposed model is able to handle the autocorrelation structure in continuous time series data, which might be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-18 David Moriña , Amanda Fernández-Fontelo , Alejandra Cabaña , Pedro Puig