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Current evaluation methods for autonomous driving prediction models rely heavily on simplistic metrics such as Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE). While these metrics offer basic performance assessments,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Feifei Liu , Haozhe Wang , Zejun Wei , Qirong Lu , Yiyang Wen , Xiaoyu Tang , Jingyan Jiang , Zhijian He

Being able to anticipate the motion of surrounding agents is essential for the safe operation of autonomous driving systems in dynamic situations. While various methods have been proposed for trajectory prediction, the current evaluation…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Longchao Da , David Isele , Hua Wei , Manish Saroya

Predicting the motion of dynamic agents is a critical task for guaranteeing the safety of autonomous systems. A particular challenge is that motion prediction algorithms should obey dynamics constraints and quantify prediction uncertainty…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Renukanandan Tumu , Lars Lindemann , Truong Nghiem , Rahul Mangharam

Multi-modal trajectory forecasting methods commonly evaluate using single-agent metrics (marginal metrics), such as minimum Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE), which fail to capture joint performance of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-10-13 Erica Weng , Hana Hoshino , Deva Ramanan , Kris Kitani

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in the performance of autonomous driving systems, and prediction accuracy, such as average displacement error (ADE) or final displacement error (FDE), is widely used as a performance metric. However,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Phong Tran , Haoran Wu , Cunjun Yu , Panpan Cai , Sifa Zheng , David Hsu

Motion prediction is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving. However, the inexplicability and uncertainty of complex artificial intelligence models may lead to unpredictable failures of the motion prediction module, which may…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-05-26 Wenbo Shao , Yanchao Xu , Liang Peng , Jun Li , Hong Wang

Autonomous driving consists of a multitude of interacting modules, where each module must contend with errors from the others. Typically, the motion prediction module depends upon a robust tracking system to capture each agent's past…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-11-15 Ameni Trabelsi , Ross J. Beveridge , Nathaniel Blanchard

With the increasing use of Machine Learning (ML) in critical autonomous systems, runtime monitors have been developed to detect prediction errors and keep the system in a safe state during operations. Monitors have been proposed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-01 Joris Guerin , Raul Sena Ferreira , Kevin Delmas , Jérémie Guiochet

In this paper, we assess the state of the art in pedestrian trajectory prediction within the context of generating single trajectories, a critical aspect aligning with the requirements in autonomous systems. The evaluation is conducted on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Nico Uhlemann , Felix Fent , Markus Lienkamp

Automated vehicles require a comprehensive understanding of traffic situations to ensure safe and anticipatory driving. In this context, the prediction of pedestrians is particularly challenging as pedestrian behavior can be influenced by…

Pedestrian motion prediction is a key part of the modular-based autonomous driving pipeline, ensuring safe, accurate, and timely awareness of human agents' possible future trajectories. The autonomous vehicle can use this information to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Dmytro Zabolotnii , Yar Muhammad , Naveed Muhammad

Best-of-N (BoN) Average Displacement Error (ADE)/ Final Displacement Error (FDE) is the most used metric for evaluating trajectory prediction models. Yet, the BoN does not quantify the whole generated samples, resulting in an incomplete…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Abduallah Mohamed , Deyao Zhu , Warren Vu , Mohamed Elhoseiny , Christian Claudel

In order for autonomous vehicles to become a part of the Intelligent Transportation Ecosystem, they are required to guarantee a particular level of safety. For that to happen a safe vehicle control algorithms need to be developed, which…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-03-03 Vladislav Kibalov , Oleg Shipitko

Safety is a central requirement for automated vehicles. As such, the assessment of risk in automated driving is key in supporting both motion planning technologies and safety evaluation. In automated driving, risk is characterized by two…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-22 Leon Tolksdorf , Arturo Tejada , Jonas Bauernfeind , Christian Birkner , Nathan van de Wouw

Open-loop evaluation offers fast, reproducible assessment of autonomous driving planners, but its ability to predict real closed-loop driving performance remains questionable. Prior work has shown that traditional open-loop metrics such as…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Yiru Wang , Anqing Jiang , Shuo Wang , Yuwen Heng , Hai Yang , Yang Chen , Hao Sun

The automated real-time recognition of unexpected situations plays a crucial role in the safety of autonomous vehicles, especially in unsupported and unpredictable scenarios. This paper evaluates different Bayesian uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Ruben Grewal , Paolo Tonella , Andrea Stocco

The autonomous vehicle motion prediction literature is reviewed. Motion prediction is the most challenging task in autonomous vehicles and self-drive cars. These challenges have been discussed. Later on, the state-of-theart has reviewed…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Shahrokh Paravarzar , Belqes Mohammad

We present a novel method for testing the safety of self-driving vehicles in simulation. We propose an alternative to sensor simulation, as sensor simulation is expensive and has large domain gaps. Instead, we directly simulate the outputs…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-08-14 Kelvin Wong , Qiang Zhang , Ming Liang , Bin Yang , Renjie Liao , Abbas Sadat , Raquel Urtasun

Real-time safety metrics are important for the automated driving system (ADS) to assess the risk of driving situations and to assist the decision-making. Although a number of real-time safety metrics have been proposed in the literature,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Xintao Yan , Shuo Feng , David J. LeBlanc , Carol Flannagan , Henry X. Liu

In recent years, the field of autonomous driving has attracted increasingly significant public interest. Accurately forecasting the future behavior of various traffic participants is essential for the decision-making of Autonomous Vehicles…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Jianxin Shi , Jinhao Chen , Yuandong Wang , Li Sun , Chunyang Liu , Wei Xiong , Tianyu Wo
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