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We present a constructive approach to Bernstein copulas with an admissible discrete skeleton in arbitrary dimensions when the underlying marginal grid sizes are smaller than the number of observations. This prevents an overfitting of the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-03-04 Dietmar Pfeifer , Olena Ragulina

This paper introduces an innovative method for constructing copula models capable of describing arbitrary non-monotone dependence structures. The proposed method enables the creation of such copulas in parametric form, thus allowing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Manfred Marvin Marchione , Fabio Baione

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

Modeling the dependence between multiple risk types is a central challenge in contemporary insurance risk management. The standard approaches, L\'evy copulas and zero-mixed models, often face practical difficulties in simulation and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-05-26 Roberto Baviera , Pietro Manzoni , Michele Domenico Massaria

This article presents factor copula approaches to model temporal dependency of non-Gaussian (continuous/discrete) longitudinal data. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas which explain the underlying dependence structure of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

We study copula-based collective risk models when the dependence structure is defined by a Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula. By leveraging a one-to-one correspondence between the class of FGM copulas and multivariate symmetric…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

In the field of finance, insurance, and system reliability, etc., it is often of interest to measure the dependence among variables by modeling a multivariate distribution using a copula. The copula models with parametric assumptions are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Lu Lu , Sujit Ghosh

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

Study of recurrences in earthquakes, climate, financial time-series, etc. is crucial to better forecast disasters and limit their consequences. However, almost all the previous phenomenological studies involved only a long-ranged…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Rémy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

Multivariate mixed-type outcomes are difficult to model jointly, and additional complexity arises when both marginal effects and dependence structures vary with a covariate such as age or time. Existing approaches often impose restrictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Yujin Jeong , Seonghyun Jeong

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet

In recent years, conditional copulas, that allow dependence between variables to vary according to the values of one or more covariates, have attracted increasing attention. In high dimension, vine copulas offer greater flexibility compared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-24 Rosario Barone , Luciana Dalla Valle

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan

Copulas are popular as models for multivariate dependence because they allow the marginal densities and the joint dependence to be modeled separately. However, they usually require that the transformation from uniform marginals to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-14 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Paolo Giordani , Xiuyan Mun , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

We generalize 2-Wasserstein dependence coefficients to measure dependence between a finite number of random vectors. This generalization includes theoretical properties, and in particular focuses on an interpretation of maximal dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Steven De Keyser , Irene Gijbels

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Probability density estimation is a central task in statistics. Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-08 Nicolás Kuschinski , Richard Warr , Alejandro Jara
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