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Causal discovery aims to uncover cause-and-effect relationships encoded in causal graphs by leveraging observational, interventional data, or their combination. The majority of existing causal discovery methods are developed assuming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu , Mahsa Ghasemi

Unmeasured confounding may undermine the validity of causal inference with observational studies. Sensitivity analysis provides an attractive way to partially circumvent this issue by assessing the potential influence of unmeasured…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-15 Peng Ding , Tyler VanderWeele

A major challenge in estimating treatment effects in observational studies is the reliance on untestable conditions such as the assumption of no unmeasured confounding. In this work, we propose an algorithm that can falsify the assumption…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Rickard K. A. Karlsson , Jesse H. Krijthe

Causal inference from observational data requires assumptions. These assumptions range from measuring confounders to identifying instruments. Traditionally, causal inference assumptions have focused on estimation of effects for a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-04 Rajesh Ranganath , Adler Perotte

Despite attempts to apply the lessons of causal modelling to the observed correlations typical of entangled bipartite quantum systems, Wood and Spekkens argue that any causal model purporting to explain these correlations must be fine…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-06-02 Peter W. Evans

Knowledge of the underlying causal relations is essential for inferring the effect of interventions in complex systems. In a widely studied approach, structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among interacting variables,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Establishing causal relations between random variables from observational data is perhaps the most important challenge in today's \blue{science}. In remote sensing and geosciences this is of special relevance to better understand the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-10 Adrián Pérez-Suay , Gustau Camps-Valls

Causality plays an important role in understanding intelligent behavior, and there is a wealth of literature on mathematical models for causality, most of which is focused on causal graphs. Causal graphs are a powerful tool for a wide range…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Scott Garrabrant , Matthias Georg Mayer , Magdalena Wache , Leon Lang , Sam Eisenstat , Holger Dell

Constraint-based causal discovery from limited data is a notoriously difficult challenge due to the many borderline independence test decisions. Several approaches to improve the reliability of the predictions by exploiting redundancy in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-01-27 Sara Magliacane , Tom Claassen , Joris M. Mooij

Causal effect estimation has been studied by many researchers when only observational data is available. Sound and complete algorithms have been developed for pointwise estimation of identifiable causal queries. For non-identifiable causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 Ziwei Jiang , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu

Distinguishing causal connections from correlations is important in many scenarios. However, the presence of unobserved variables, such as the latent confounder, can introduce bias in conditional independence testing commonly employed in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-03 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yu Qiao , Yizhou Wang

We present a sound and complete algorithm for recovering causal graphs from observed, non-interventional data, in the possible presence of latent confounders and selection bias. We rely on the causal Markov and faithfulness assumptions and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-12-25 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

Learning causal relations from observational data is a fundamental problem with wide-ranging applications across many fields. Constraint-based methods infer the underlying causal structure by performing conditional independence tests.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Marc Franquesa Monés , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Belief systems are often treated as globally consistent sets of propositions or as scalar-valued probability distributions. Such representations tend to obscure the internal structure of belief, conflate external credibility with internal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-06 Saleh Nikooroo

Probabilities of causation are fundamental to individual-level explanation and decision making, yet they are inherently counterfactual and not point-identifiable from data in general. Existing bounds either disregard available covariates,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Yuxuan Xie , Ang Li

Consider the problem of learning, from non-experimental data, the causal (Markov equivalence) structure of the true, unknown causal Bayesian network (CBN) on a given, fixed set of (categorical) variables. This learning problem is known to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-26 Hanti Lin , Jiji Zhang

This paper deals with chain graphs under the alternative Andersson-Madigan-Perlman (AMP) interpretation. In particular, we present a constraint based algorithm for learning an AMP chain graph a given probability distribution is faithful to.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-04-25 Jose M. Peña

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms learn part of the causal graph structure by systematically testing conditional independences observed in the data. These algorithms, such as the PC algorithm and its variants, rely on graphical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Murat Kocaoglu

Recovering causal relationships from data is an important problem. Using observational data, one can typically only recover causal graphs up to a Markov equivalence class and additional assumptions or interventional data are needed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Davin Choo , Kirankumar Shiragur