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相关论文: A Data-driven Change-point Estimator

200 篇论文

We develop a testing procedure for distinguishing between a long-range dependent time series and a weakly dependent time series with change-points in the mean. In the simplest case, under the null hypothesis the time series is weakly…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka , Qi-Man Shao

Changepoint detection identifies times when the generative process of a time series changes, with applications in healthcare, cybersecurity, and finance. In multivariate settings, changes in cross-variable and temporal dependence are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Victor K. Khamesi , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall M. Adams , Dean A. Bodenham

Consider a scenario where we have access to train data with both covariates and outcomes while test data only contains covariates. In this scenario, our primary aim is to predict the missing outcomes of the test data. With this objective in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Masahiro Kato , Kota Matsui , Ryo Inokuchi

The change point is a moment of an abrupt alteration in the data distribution. Current methods for change point detection are based on recurrent neural methods suitable for sequential data. However, recent works show that transformers based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-19 Anna Dmitrienko , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev

This paper considers the change point detection problem under dependent samples. In particular, we provide performance guarantees for the MMD-CUSUM test under exponentially $\alpha$, $\beta$, and fast $\phi$-mixing processes, which…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-13 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

We discuss a class of difference-based estimators for the autocovariance in nonparametric regression when the signal is discontinuous (change-point regression), possibly highly fluctuating, and the errors form a stationary $m$-dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-09 Inder Tecuapetla-Gómez , Axel Munk

In characterization of quantum systems, adapting measurement settings based on data while it is collected can generally outperform in efficiency conventional measurements that are carried out independently of data. The existing methods for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-11-21 Markku P. V. Stenberg , Frank K. Wilhelm

This manuscript offers the perspective of experimentalists on a number of modern data-driven techniques: model predictive control relying on Gaussian processes, adaptive data-driven control based on behavioral theory, and deep reinforcement…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-01 Loris Di Natale , Yingzhao Lian , Emilio T. Maddalena , Jicheng Shi , Colin N. Jones

Many modern applications of online changepoint detection require the ability to process high-frequency observations, sometimes with limited available computational resources. Online algorithms for detecting a change in mean often involve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Gaetano Romano , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

Given a random sample of points from some unknown distribution, we propose a new data-driven method for estimating its probability support $S$. Under the mild assumption that $S$ is $r$-convex, the smallest $r$-convex set which contains the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-01 Alberto Rodríguez-Casal , Paula Saavedra-Nieves

This article studies estimation of a stationary autocovariance structure in the presence of an unknown number of mean shifts. Here, a Yule-Walker moment estimator for the autoregressive parameters in a dependent time series contaminated by…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-26 Colin Gallagher , Rebecca Killick , Robert Lund , Xueheng Shi

This paper proposes a data-adaptive factor model (DAFM), a novel framework for extracting common factors that explain the structures of high-dimensional data. DAFM adopts a composite quantile strategy to adaptively capture the full…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Seeun Park , Hee-Seok Oh

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

We study weighted M-estimators for $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued clustered data and give sufficient conditions for their consistency. Their asymptotic normality is established with estimation of the asymptotic covariance matrix. We address the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-14 Mohammed El Asri , Delphine Blanke , Edith Gabriel

The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

Detecting a change point is a crucial task in statistics that has been recently extended to the quantum realm. A source state generator that emits a series of single photons in a default state suffers an alteration at some point and starts…

In practice, the data distribution at test time often differs, to a smaller or larger extent, from that of the original training data. Consequentially, the so-called source classifier, trained on the available labelled data, deteriorates on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-18 Wouter M. Kouw , Marco Loog

The problem of change-point estimation is considered under a general framework where the data are generated by unknown stationary ergodic process distributions. In this context, the consistent estimation of the number of change-points is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-02-15 Azaden Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

Most of the literature on change-point analysis by means of hypothesis testing considers hypotheses of the form H0 : \theta_1 = \theta_2 vs. H1 : \theta_1 != \theta_2, where \theta_1 and \theta_2 denote parameters of the process before and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-26 Holger Dette , Dominik Wied

We consider the problem of change point detection for high-dimensional distributions in a location family when the dimension can be much larger than the sample size. In change point analysis, the widely used cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-14 Mengjia Yu , Xiaohui Chen