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This paper introduces aggregate Bayesian Causal Forests (aBCF), a new Bayesian model for causal inference using aggregated data. Aggregated data are common in policy evaluations where we observe individuals such as students, but…

The impact of wildfire smoke on air quality is a growing concern, contributing to air pollution through a complex mixture of chemical species with important implications for public health. While previous studies have primarily focused on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Dafne Zorzetto , Jenna Landy , Corwin Zigler , Giovanni Parmigiani , Roberta De Vito

Highway traffic crashes exert a considerable impact on both transportation systems and the economy. In this context, accurate and dependable emergency responses are crucial for effective traffic management. However, the influence of crashes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Shuang Li , Ziyuan Pu , Zhiyong Cui , Seunghyeon Lee , Xiucheng Guo , Dong Ngoduy

Teleconnections between the tropical and the extratropical climates are often considered as a potential source of long-term predictability at seasonal to decadal time scales in the extratropics. This claim is taken up in the present work by…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-17 Stephane Vannitsem

Tropical cyclones (TCs) rank among the most costly natural disasters in the United States, and accurate forecasts of track and intensity are critical for emergency response. Intensity guidance has improved steadily but slowly, as processes…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-08 Trey McNeely , Ann B. Lee , Kimberly M. Wood , Dorit Hammerling

Infectious diseases, either emerging or long-lasting, place numerous people at risk and bring heavy public health burdens worldwide. In the process against infectious diseases, predicting the epidemic risk by modeling the disease…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Mutong Liu , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

This study presents a comprehensive climatological benchmarking of tropical cyclones (TCs) generated by AI-based global weather prediction models. Using all TC events from the North Atlantic and Western Pacific basins between 2020 and 2025,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-01 Yanmo Weng , Avantika Gori

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz

Over the last decades, many prognostic models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been used to provide detailed predictions in healthcare. Unfortunately, the real-world observational data used to train and validate these models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Alice Bernasconi , Alessio Zanga , Peter J. F. Lucas , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Extreme natural hazards are increasing in frequency and intensity. These natural changes in our environment, combined with man-made pollution, have substantial economic, social and health impacts globally. The impact of the environment on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-25 Aiden Price , Kerrie Mengersen , Michael Rigby , Paula Fiévez

This paper studies integral-type event-triggered model predictive control (MPC) of continuous-time nonlinear systems. An integral-type event-triggered mechanism is proposed by incorporating the integral of errors between the actual and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-19 Qi Sun , Jicheng Chen , Yang Shi

In this paper, we predict severity of extreme weather events (tropical storms, hurricanes, etc.) using buoy data time series variables such as wind speed and air temperature. The prediction/forecasting method is based on various forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-21 Vikas Ramachandra

Climate change significantly impacts public health, driving the emergence and spread of epidemics. Climate health models are essential for assessing and predicting disease outbreaks influenced by climatic variables like temperature and…

In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC) method for real-time intervention of spreading processes, such as epidemics and wildfire, over large-scale networks. The goal is to allocate budgeted resources each time step to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-31 Ruigang Wang , Armaghan Zafar , Ian R. Manchester

We present a Transfer Causal Learning (TCL) framework when target and source domains share the same covariate/feature spaces, aiming to improve causal effect estimation accuracy in limited data. Limited data is very common in medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Song Wei , Hanyu Zhang , Ronald Moore , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran , Yao Xie

Background: This study examines cardiometabolic (CM) risk factors in an urban South Asian population, integrating medical and Anthropological perspectives to explore the effects of socio-economic, lifestyle, gender-specific factors, and…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-12-11 Karishma Yasmin

Providing accurate and reliable predictions about the future of an epidemic is an important problem for enabling informed public health decisions. Recent works have shown that leveraging data-driven solutions that utilize advances in deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , B. Aditya Prakash

Training of elite athletes requires regular physiological and medical monitoring to plan the schedule, intensity and volume of training, and subsequent recovery. In sports medicine, ECG-based analyses are well established. However, they…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-27 Marcel Młyńczak , Hubert Krysztofiak

Sepsis is a life-threatening and serious global health issue. This study combines knowledge with available hospital data to investigate the potential causes of Sepsis that can be affected by policy decisions. We investigate the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Bruno Petrungaro , Neville K. Kitson , Anthony C. Constantinou

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are ideal for estimating causal effects, because the distributions of background covariates are similar in expectation across treatment groups. When estimating causal effects using observational data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-27 Anthony D. Scotina , Roee Gutman