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This work studies the total variation regularized $\ell_2$ estimator (fused lasso) in the setting of a change point detection problem. Compared with existing works that focus on the sum of squared estimation errors, we give bound on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-07 Teng Zhang

This paper describes a methodology for detecting anomalies from sequentially observed and potentially noisy data. The proposed approach consists of two main elements: (1) {\em filtering}, or assigning a belief or likelihood to each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Maxim Raginsky , Rebecca Willett , Corinne Horn , Jorge Silva , Roummel Marcia

We introduce a powerful scan statistic and the corresponding test for detecting the presence and pinpointing the location of a change point within the distribution of a data sequence with the data elements residing in a separable metric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Paromita Dubey , Minxing Zheng

Recent empirical and theoretical studies have shown that many learning algorithms -- from linear regression to neural networks -- can have test performance that is non-monotonic in quantities such the sample size and model size. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Preetum Nakkiran , Prayaag Venkat , Sham Kakade , Tengyu Ma

Detecting abrupt changes in the community structure of a network from noisy observations is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. This paper presents an online change detection algorithm called Spectral-CUSUM to detect…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-17 Minghe Zhang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

While previous distribution shift detection approaches can identify if a shift has occurred, these approaches cannot localize which specific features have caused a distribution shift -- a critical step in diagnosing or fixing any underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Sean Kulinski , Saurabh Bagchi , David I. Inouye

We propose a new class of sequential change point tests, both for changes in the mean parameter and in the overall distribution function. The methodology builds on a two-window inspection scheme (TWIN), which aggregates data into symmetric…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-14 Patrick Bastian , Tim Kutta

The problem of joint sequential detection and isolation is considered in the context of multiple, not necessarily independent, data streams. A multiple testing framework is proposed, where each hypothesis corresponds to a different subset…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Georgios Fellouris

We give a comprehensive theoretical characterization of a nonparametric estimator for the $L_2^2$ divergence between two continuous distributions. We first bound the rate of convergence of our estimator, showing that it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-31 Akshay Krishnamurthy , Kirthevasan Kandasamy , Barnabas Poczos , Larry Wasserman

As the use of machine learning continues to expand, the importance of ensuring its safety cannot be overstated. A key concern in this regard is the ability to identify whether a given sample is from the training distribution, or is an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-11 Nicola Franco , Daniel Korth , Jeanette Miriam Lorenz , Karsten Roscher , Stephan Guennemann

The observation that violating Bell inequalities with high probability is possible even when the local measurements are randomly chosen, as occurs when local measurements cannot be suitably calibrated or the parties do not share a common…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-08-06 Esteban S. Gómez , Gustavo Cañas , Johanna F. Barra , Adán Cabello , Gustavo Lima

Many real-life dynamical systems change abruptly followed by almost stationary periods. In this paper, we consider streams of data with such abrupt behavior and investigate the problem of tracking their statistical properties in an online…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Hugo Lewi Hammer , Anis Yazidi

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. The pre-change observations are assumed to be stationary with a known distribution, while the post-change…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-19 Yuchen Liang , Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Time series anomaly detection has achieved remarkable progress in recent years. However, evaluation practices have received comparatively less attention, despite their critical importance. Existing metrics exhibit several limitations: (1)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-09 Yuewei Li , Dalin Zhang , Huan Li , Xinyi Gong , Hongjun Chu , Zhaohui Song

This paper addresses the challenge of accurately detecting the transition from the warmup phase to the steady state in performance metric time series, which is a critical step for effective benchmarking. The goal is to introduce a method…

性能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Martin Beseda , Vittorio Cortellessa , Daniele Di Pompeo , Luca Traini , Michele Tucci

We study the probabilistic behavior of persistence-based statistics and propose a novel nonparametric framework for detecting structural changes in high-dimensional random point clouds. We establish moment bounds and tightness results for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Toshiyuki Nakayama

For the problem of sequential detection of changes, we adopt the probability maximizing approach in place of the classical minimization of the average detection delay, and propose modified versions of the Shiryaev, Lorden and Pollak…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-01-16 George V. Moustakides

Rapid progress in representation learning has led to a proliferation of embedding models, and to associated challenges of model selection and practical application. It is non-trivial to assess a model's generalizability to new, candidate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Leo Betthauser , Urszula Chajewska , Maurice Diesendruck , Rohith Pesala

Responding appropriately to the detections of a sequential change detector requires knowledge of the rate at which false positives occur in the absence of change. Setting detection thresholds to achieve a desired false positive rate is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Oliver Cobb , Arnaud Van Looveren , Janis Klaise

We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-19 Yang Cao , Yao Xie , Nagi Gebraeel