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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations. However, this method, like other…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-21 Sanmitra Ghosh , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Koushik Maharatna

Few problems in statistics are as perplexing as variable selection in the presence of very many redundant covariates. The variable selection problem is most familiar in parametric environments such as the linear model or additive variants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-25 Yi Liu , Veronika Ročková , Yuexi Wang

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has developed rapidly from its infancy to a useful tool for practitioners. However, models with more than a handful of parameters still generally remain a challenge for the…

Many scientifically well-motivated statistical models in natural, engineering and environmental sciences are specified through a generative process, but in some cases it may not be possible to write down a likelihood for these models…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-10 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Subhro Ghosh , David J. Nott , Kim Cuc Pham

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a simulation-based likelihood-free method applicable to both model selection and parameter estimation. ABC parameter estimation requires the ability to forward simulate datasets from a candidate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Louis Raynal , Sixing Chen , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We consider the simulation of Bayesian statistical inverse problems governed by large-scale linear and nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are standard techniques to solve such…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-02-09 Harbir Antil , Howard C Elman , Akwum Onwunta , Deepanshu Verma

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have become a essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models. Earlier, Grelaud et al. (2009) advocated the use of ABC for Bayesian model choice in the specific case of Gibbs random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Marie Cornuet , Jean-Michel Marin , Natesh Pillai

Simulation models, in particular agent-based models, are gaining popularity in economics. The considerable flexibility they offer, as well as their capacity to reproduce a variety of empirically observed behaviours of complex systems, give…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-20 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian Schmon

We present a novel approach to Bayesian inference and general Bayesian computation that is defined through a sequential decision loop. Our method defines a recursive partitioning of the sample space. It neither relies on gradients nor…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-10 Erik Bodin , Zhenwen Dai , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

There is a rich literature on Bayesian methods for density estimation, which characterize the unknown density as a mixture of kernels. Such methods have advantages in terms of providing uncertainty quantification in estimation, while being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-10 Shounak Chattopadhyay , Antik Chakraborty , David B. Dunson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a set of techniques for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible. This work presents a simple yet effective ABC algorithm based on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Yanzhi Chen , Michael U. Gutmann

Background: We proposed approximate Bayesian computation with single distribution selection (ABC-SD) for estimating mean and standard deviation from other reported summary statistics. The ABC-SD generates pseudo data from a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

A common problem in natural sciences is the comparison of competing models in the light of observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a statistically sound framework for this comparison based on the evidence each model provides for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-23 Jan Boelts

We propose a novel approach to approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) that seeks to cater for possible misspecification of the assumed model. This new approach can be equally applied to rejection-based ABC and to popular regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods make use of comparisons between simulated and observed summary statistics to overcome the problem of computationally intractable likelihood functions. As the practical implementation of ABC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-12 M. G. B. Blum , M. A. Nunes , D. Prangle , S. A. Sisson

In this paper we propose and study local linear and polynomial based estimators for implementing Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) style indirect inference and GMM estimators. This method makes use of nonparametric regression in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-13 Michael Creel , Jiti Gao , Han Hong , Dennis Kristensen

Until recently, the use of Bayesian inference in population genetics was limited to a few cases because for many realistic population genetic models the likelihood function cannot be calculated analytically . The situation changed with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-01-16 Christoph Leuenberger Daniel Wegmann Laurent Excoffier

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complex stochastic models, where it is easy to simulate from the models, but impossible to calculate likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method of inference for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-14 Paul Fearnhead , Dennis Prangle