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Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here…

Regression models, in which the observed features $X \in \R^p$ and the response $Y \in \R$ depend, jointly, on a lower dimensional, unobserved, latent vector $Z \in \R^K$, with $K< p$, are popular in a large array of applications, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-04 Xin Bing , Florentina Bunea , Marten Wegkamp

It has become increasingly common to collect high-dimensional binary response data; for example, with the emergence of new sampling techniques in ecology. In smaller dimensions, multivariate probit (MVP) models are routinely used for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Antik Chakraborty , Rihui Ou , David B. Dunson

Hierarchical models with gamma hyperpriors provide a flexible, sparse-promoting framework to bridge $L^1$ and $L^2$ regularizations in Bayesian formulations to inverse problems. Despite the Bayesian motivation for these models, existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-30 Shiv Agrawal , Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Alexander Strang

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainty by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have focused…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-25 Cooper Lorsung

Classification of high dimensional data finds wide-ranging applications. In many of these applications equipping the resulting classification with a measure of uncertainty may be as important as the classification itself. In this paper we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-12 Andrea L. Bertozzi , Xiyang Luo , Andrew M. Stuart , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

We propose a novel method for closed-form predictive distribution modeling with neural nets. In quantifying prediction uncertainty, we build on Evidential Deep Learning, which has been impactful as being both simple to implement and giving…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-22 Manuel Haussmann , Sebastian Gerwinn , Melih Kandemir

We consider high-dimensional generalized linear models when the covariates are contaminated by measurement error. Estimates from errors-in-variables regression models are well-known to be biased in traditional low-dimensional settings if…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-01-06 Michael Byrd , Monnie McGee

To infer multilayer deep representations of high-dimensional discrete and nonnegative real vectors, we propose an augmentable gamma belief network (GBN) that factorizes each of its hidden layers into the product of a sparse connection…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-07 Mingyuan Zhou , Yulai Cong , Bo Chen

Obtaining accurate estimates of uncertainty in climate scenarios often requires generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate simulations, a computationally expensive and memory intensive process. To address this challenge, we train…

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) provide a powerful framework that elegantly integrates Graph theory with Machine learning for modeling and analysis of networked data. We consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in predictions of GNN…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-23 Sai Munikoti , Deepesh Agarwal , Laya Das , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

In scientific applications, there often are several competing models that could be fit to the observed data, so quantification of the model uncertainty is of fundamental importance. In this paper, we develop an inferential model (IM)…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-07 Ryan Martin , Huiping Xu , Zuoyi Zhang , Chuanhai Liu

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

Generalized linear models (GLMs) form one of the most popular classes of models in statistics. The gamma variant is used, for instance, in actuarial science for the modelling of claim amounts in insurance. A flaw of GLMs is that they are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-12 Philippe Gagnon , Yuxi Wang

Though deep neural networks have achieved impressive success on various vision tasks, obvious performance degradation still exists when models are tested in out-of-distribution scenarios. In addressing this limitation, we ponder that the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Xiaotong Li , Zixuan Hu , Jun Liu , Yixiao Ge , Yongxing Dai , Ling-Yu Duan

In many real-world regression tasks, the data distribution is heavily skewed, and models learn predominantly from abundant majority samples while failing to predict minority labels accurately. While imbalanced classification has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Shayan Alahyari

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Computational imaging is crucial in many disciplines from autonomous driving to life sciences. However, traditional model-driven and iterative methods consume large computational power and lack scalability for imaging. Deep learning (DL) is…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-26 Weiru Fan , Xiaobin Tang , Yiyi Liao , Da-Wei Wang