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This paper introduces the novel class of modulated cyclostationary processes, a class of non-stationary processes exhibiting frequency coupling, and proposes a method of their estimation from repeated trials. Cyclostationary processes also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-25 Sofia C. Olhede , Hernando Ombao

We investigate the application of conformable derivatives to model critical phenomena near continuous phase transitions. By incorporating a deformation parameter into the differential structure, we derive unified expressions for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-01-13 José Weberszpil , Ralf Metzler

We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey

Although the notion of diagnostic problem has been extensively investigated in the context of static systems, in most practical applications the behavior of the modeled system is significantly variable during time. The goal of the paper is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-25 Luigi Portinale

This technical note addresses the UD factorization based Kalman filtering (KF) algorithms. Using this important class of numerically stable KF schemes, we extend its functionality and develop an elegant and simple method for computation of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-28 Julia V. Tsyganova , Maria V. Kulikova

Coherent elastic strain is an important but often neglected contribution to phase-separation thermodynamics in alloy systems where decomposed phases have appreciable lattice mismatch. We develop a thermodynamic framework that incorporates…

材料科学 · 物理学 2026-05-05 Siya Zhu , Raymundo Arróyave

The description of complex systems requires a progressively larger number of parameters. However, in practice, it often happens that a small subset of parameters suffices to describe the dynamics of the system itself: these combinations are…

This paper is concerned with a thermomechanical model describing phase separation phenomena in terms of the entropy balance and equilibrium equations for the microforces. The related system is highly nonlinear and admits singular potentials…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-01-30 Pierluigi Colli , Shunsuke Kurima

In this article we consider static Bayesian parameter estimation for partially observed diffusions that are discretely observed. We work under the assumption that one must resort to discretizing the underlying diffusion process, for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou

Parameters in climate models are usually calibrated manually, exploiting only small subsets of the available data. This precludes both optimal calibration and quantification of uncertainties. Traditional Bayesian calibration methods that…

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for inference of complicated probabilistic models with intractable likelihoods using model simulations. The Markov chain Monte Carlo implementation of approximate Bayesian computation is often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-17 Matti Vihola , Jordan Franks

We present a unified framework for computing CVA sensitivities, hedging the CVA, and assessing CVA risk, using probabilistic machine learning meant as refined regression tools on simulated data, validatable by low-cost companion Monte Carlo…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-29 Stéphane Crépey , Botao Li , Hoang Nguyen , Bouazza Saadeddine

It is well-known that adaptive homodyne estimation of continuously varying optical phase provides superior accuracy in the phase estimate as compared to adaptive or non-adaptive static estimation. However, most phase estimation schemes rely…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-14 Shibdas Roy , Ian R. Petersen , Elanor H. Huntington

We show how to extend a recently proposed multi-level Monte Carlo approach to the continuous time Markov chain setting, thereby greatly lowering the computational complexity needed to compute expected values of functions of the state of the…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-23 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham

This article introduces a novel dynamic framework to Bayesian model averaging for time-varying parameter quantile regressions. By employing sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo, we combine empirical estimates derived from dynamically chosen…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-08 Mauro Bernardi , Roberto Casarin , Bertrand Maillet , Lea Petrella

This paper over-approximates the reachable sets of a continuous-time uncertain system using the sensitivity of its trajectories with respect to initial conditions and uncertain parameters. We first prove the equivalence between an existing…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2021-04-09 Pierre-Jean Meyer , Samuel Coogan , Murat Arcak

We present a new proof of the quantum Cramer-Rao bound for precision parameter estimation [1-3] and extend it to a more general class of measurement procedures. We analyze a generalized framework for parameter estimation that covers most…

量子物理 · 物理学 2010-01-28 Garry Goldstein , Mikhail D. Lukin , Paola Cappellaro

In early clinical test evaluations the potential benefits of the introduction of a new technology into the healthcare system are assessed in the challenging situation of limited available empirical data. The aim of these evaluations is to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Sara Graziadio , Kevin J. Wilson

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

Local scale invariance (LSI) has been recently proposed as a possible extension of the dynamical scaling in systems at the critical point and during phase ordering. LSI has been applied inter alia to provide predictions for the scaling…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Michel Pleimling , Andrea Gambassi