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Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

Sobol' sensitivity index estimators for stochastic models are functions of nested Monte Carlo estimators, which are estimators built from two nested Monte Carlo loops. The outer loop explores the input space and, for each of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-20 Henri Mermoz Kouye , Gildas Mazo

The main objective of this paper is to propose a new approach for estimating the entire collection of Sobol' indices simultaneously. Our approach exploits the fact that Sobol' indices can be rewritten as solutions to an optimization problem…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-09 Manon Costa , Sébastien Gadat , Xavier Gendre , Thierry Klein

This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

We define and study a generalization of Sobol sensitivity indices for the case of a vector output.

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-04-18 Fabrice Gamboa , Alexandre Janon , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

We define susceptibilities as a measure of the response of an observable quantity of a parameterized statistical model to a perturbation of the data for a general class of observables. We define estimators for these susceptibilities as…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-11 Chris Elliott , Daniel Murfet

As recently pointed out in the field of Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) of computer simulations, the use of replicated Latin Hypercube Designs (rLHDs) is a cost-saving alternative to regular Monte Carlo sampling to estimate first-order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-18 Guillaume Damblin , Alberto Ghione

Sobol' indices measure the dependence of a high dimensional function on groups of variables defined on the unit cube $[0,1]^d$. They are based on the ANOVA decomposition of functions, which is an $L^2$ decomposition. In this paper we…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-06-19 Art Owen , Josef Dick , Su Chen

Sensitivity indices are commonly used to quantify the relative influence of any specific group of input variables on the output of a computer code. One crucial question is then to decide whether a given set of variables has a significant…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-05 Thierry Klein , Nicolas Peteilh , Paul Rochet

Generalized linear models are flexible tools for the analysis of diverse datasets, but the classical formulation requires that the parametric component is correctly specified and the data contain no atypical observations. To address these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-21 Ioannis Kalogridis , Gerda Claeskens , Stefan Van Aelst

We investigate a class of estimators of the Markov order for stationary ergodic processes which form a slight modification of the constructions by Merhav, Gutman, and Ziv in 1989 as well as by Ryabko, Astola, and Malyutov in 2006 and 2016.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Łukasz Dębowski

In this paper we propose a new parameter estimator that ensures global exponential convergence of linear regression models requiring only the necessary assumption of identifiability of the regression equation,which we show is equivalent to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-20 Lei Wang , Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Bowen Yi

Global sensitivity analysis aims at measuring the relative importance of different variables or groups of variables for the variability of a quantity of interest. Among several sensitivity indices, so-called Shapley effects have recently…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-27 Takashi Goda

Standard (network) meta-analysis methods for medical test accuracy evaluation analyse the data separately for each test threshold - wasting data - unless every study reports all thresholds. Previously proposed "multiple threshold" models…

When drawing causal inference from observational data, there is always concern about unmeasured confounding. One way to tackle this is to conduct a sensitivity analysis. One widely-used sensitivity analysis framework hypothesizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Bo Zhang , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Variational inequalities represent a broad class of problems, including minimization and min-max problems, commonly found in machine learning. Existing second-order and high-order methods for variational inequalities require precise…

This paper explores the application of active learning strategies to adaptively learn Sobol indices for global sensitivity analysis. We demonstrate that active learning for Sobol indices poses unique challenges due to the definition of the…

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

In causal inference, sensitivity models assess how unmeasured confounders could alter causal analyses, but the sensitivity parameter -- which quantifies the degree of unmeasured confounding -- is often difficult to interpret. For this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis aims at combining both reliability and sensitivity analyses by quantifying the influence of each input variable of a numerical model on a quantity of interest related to its failure. In particular,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-25 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio