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Despite the growing interest in causal and statistical inference for settings with data dependence, few methods currently exist to account for missing data in dependent data settings; most classical missing data methods in statistics and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-05 Ranjani Srinivasan , Rohit Bhattacharya , Razieh Nabi , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser

Thanks to technological advances leading to near-continuous time observations, emerging multivariate point process data offer new opportunities for causal discovery. However, a key obstacle in achieving this goal is that many relevant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-15 Xu Wang , Ali Shojaie

The ability to characterize the state of dynamic systems has been a pertinent task in the time series analysis community. Traditional measures such as Lyapunov exponents are often times difficult to recover from noisy data, especially if…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-21 Joshua Tempelman , Audun Myers , Jeffrey Scruggs , Firas Khasawneh

Structural causal models (SCMs) are widely used in various disciplines to represent causal relationships among variables in complex systems. Unfortunately, the underlying causal structure is often unknown, and estimating it from data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Tianyu Chen , Kevin Bello , Bryon Aragam , Pradeep Ravikumar

Interpreting the inner function of neural networks is crucial for the trustworthy development and deployment of these black-box models. Prior interpretability methods focus on correlation-based measures to attribute model decisions to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Ola Ahmad , Nicolas Bereux , Loïc Baret , Vahid Hashemi , Freddy Lecue

Many methods for causal inference generate directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that formalize causal relations between $n$ variables. Given the joint distribution on all these variables, the DAG contains all information about how intervening on…

Modeling dynamical systems plays a crucial role in capturing and understanding complex physical phenomena. When physical models are not sufficiently accurate or hardly describable by analytical formulas, one can use generic function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-23 Armand Jordana , Justin Carpentier , Ludovic Righetti

Simulation methods are among the most ubiquitous methodological tools in statistical science. In particular, statisticians often is simulation to explore properties of statistical functionals in models for which developed statistical theory…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Tyrel Stokes , Ian Shrier , Russell Steele

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

The rapid growth of high-dimensional datasets across various scientific domains has created a pressing need for new statistical methods to compare distributions supported on their underlying structures. Assessing similarity between datasets…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-27 Hongrui Chen , Rong Ma

Distinguishing causal connections from correlations is important in many scenarios. However, the presence of unobserved variables, such as the latent confounder, can introduce bias in conditional independence testing commonly employed in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-03 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yu Qiao , Yizhou Wang

Knowledge of the underlying causal relations is essential for inferring the effect of interventions in complex systems. In a widely studied approach, structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among interacting variables,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Nowadays, the need for causal discovery is ubiquitous. A better understanding of not just the stochastic dependencies between parts of a system, but also the actual cause-effect relations, is essential for all parts of science. Thus, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Boris Lorbeer , Mustafa Mohsen

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

We address the problem of estimating causal effects from observational data in the presence of network confounding, a setting where both treatment assignment and observed outcomes of individuals may be influenced by their neighbors within a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Abhishek Dalvi , Neil Ashtekar , Vasant Honavar

The paper introduces a novel methodology for the identification of coefficients of switched autoregressive linear models. We consider the case when the system's outputs are contaminated by possibly large values of measurement noise. It is…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa , Fabrizio Dabbene

Technical systems have evolved over time into large and complex Interwoven Systems consisting of several to a huge number of (possibly heterogeneous) subsystems that have interdependencies. The resultant mutual influences among subsystems…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2018-07-24 Neeraj Mumbuveetil Sasankan

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a challenging problem, especially with high dimensional data and in the presence of unobserved variables. The available data-driven methods for tackling the problem either provide an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-25 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jiji Zhang , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le