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Predictive process monitoring is a subfield of process mining that aims to estimate case or event features for running process instances. Such predictions are of significant interest to the process stakeholders. However, state-of-the-art…

Traditional learning systems have responded quickly to the COVID pandemic and moved to online or distance learning. Online learning requires a personalization method because the interaction between learners and instructors is minimal, and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Ahmad Mousa Altamimi , Mohammad Azzeh , Mahmoud Albashayreh

Interpretation of a machine learning induced models is critical for feature engineering, debugging, and, arguably, compliance. Yet, best of breed machine learning models tend to be very complex. This paper presents a method for model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-27 Noa Avigdor-Elgrabli , Alex Libov , Michael Viderman , Ran Wolff

We introduce the first application of the lean methodology to machine learning projects. Similar to lean startups and lean manufacturing, we argue that lean machine learning (LeanML) can drastically slash avoidable wastes in commercial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo

Bond prices are a reflection of extremely complex market interactions and policies, making prediction of future prices difficult. This task becomes even more challenging due to the dearth of relevant information, and accuracy is not the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-04 Swetava Ganguli , Jared Dunnmon

Predicting metrics associated with entities' transnational behavior within payment processing networks is essential for system monitoring. Multivariate time series, aggregated from the past transaction history, can provide valuable insights…

Nonparametric and machine learning methods are flexible methods for obtaining accurate predictions. Nowadays, data sets with a large number of predictors and complex structures are fairly common. In the presence of item nonresponse,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

Purpose - Inefficient hiring may result in lower productivity and higher training costs. Productivity losses caused by absenteeism at work cost U.S. employers billions of dollars each year. Also, employers typically spend a considerable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Gopal Nath , Antoine Harfouche , Austin Coursey , Krishna K. Saha , Srikanth Prabhu , Saptarshi Sengupta

Neural predictive models have achieved remarkable performance improvements in various natural language processing tasks. However, most neural predictive models suffer from the lack of explainability of predictions, limiting their practical…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-06-01 Dongfang Li , Jingcong Tao , Qingcai Chen , Baotian Hu

We consider a class of queries called durability prediction queries that arise commonly in predictive analytics, where we use a given predictive model to answer questions about possible futures to inform our decisions. Examples of…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-04-02 Junyang Gao , Yifan Xu , Pankaj K. Agarwal , Jun Yang

We consider the problem of forecasting debt recovery from large portfolios of non-performing unsecured consumer loans under management. The state of the art in industry is to use stochastic processes to approximately model payment behaviour…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Sam Baynes , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell , Edmund Ryan , Timothy Waite

Financial forecasting increasingly uses large neural network models, but their opacity raises challenges for trust and regulatory compliance. We present several approaches to explainable and reliable AI in finance. \emph{First}, we describe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Albi Isufaj , Pablo Mollá , Helmut Prendinger

Accurate crude oil price prediction is crucial for financial decision-making. We propose a novel reservoir computing model for forecasting crude oil prices. It outperforms popular deep learning methods in most scenarios, as demonstrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Kaushal Kumar

A proper forecast of the menstrual cycle is meaningful for women's health, as it allows individuals to take preventive actions to minimize cycle-associated discomforts. In addition, precise prediction can be useful for planning important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Rosana C. B. Rego

There is a persistent lack of funding, especially for SMEs, that cyclically worsens. The factoring and invoice discounting market appears to address delays in paying commercial invoices: sellers bring still-to-be-paid invoices to financial…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-20 Peplluis R. Esteva , Alberto Ballesteros Rodríguez

Many applications require the collection of data on different variables or measurements over many system performance metrics. We term those broadly as measures or variables. Often data collection along each measure incurs a cost, thus it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-30 Donghui Yan , Zhiwei Qin , Songxiang Gu , Haiping Xu , Ming Shao

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

The steadily high demand for cash contributes to the expansion of the network of Bank payment terminals. To optimize the amount of cash in payment terminals, it is necessary to minimize the cost of servicing them and ensure that there are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-19 G. A. Nigmatulin , O. B. Chaganova

In Business Intelligence, accurate predictive modeling is the key for providing adaptive decisions. We studied predictive modeling problems in this research which was motivated by real-world cases that Microsoft data scientists encountered…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Junxuan Li , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Yifei Ren , Jay Nanduri

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus