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SARS-CoV2, which causes coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is continuing to spread globally and has become a pandemic. People have lost their lives due to the virus and the lack of counter measures in place. Given the increasing caseload and…

Time-to-event analysis is an important statistical tool for allocating clinical resources such as ICU beds. However, classical techniques like the Cox model cannot directly incorporate images due to their high dimensionality. We propose a…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-24 Michelle Shu , Richard Strong Bowen , Charles Herrmann , Gengmo Qi , Michele Santacatterina , Ramin Zabih

In this paper we develop statistical methods for causal inference in epidemics. Our focus is in estimating the effect of social mobility on deaths in the Covid-19 pandemic. We propose a marginal structural model motivated by a modified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-25 Matteo Bonvini , Edward Kennedy , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Epidemiological models contain a set of parameters that must be adjusted based on available observations. Once a model has been calibrated, it can be used as a forecasting tool to make predictions and to evaluate contingency plans. It is…

During the COVID-19 pandemic, a massive number of attempts on the predictions of the number of cases and the other future trends of this pandemic have been made. However, they fail to predict, in a reliable way, the medium and long term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Mert Nakıp , Onur Çopur , Cüneyt Güzeliş

We use an enhanced methodology combining specific forms of AI techniques, opinion mining and artificial mathematical intelligence (AMI), with public data on the spread of the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and the incidence of COVID-19 disease in…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-05-27 Danny A. J. Gomez-Ramirez , Yoe A. Herrera-Jaramillo , Johana C. Ortega-Giraldo , Alex M. Ardila-Garcia

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed forecasting models at the forefront of health policy making. Predictions of mortality and hospitalization help governments meet planning and resource allocation challenges. In this paper, we consider the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-21 Kathryn S. Taylor , James W. Taylor

We developed MLHO (pronounced as melo), an end-to-end Machine Learning framework that leverages iterative feature and algorithm selection to predict Health Outcomes. MLHO implements iterative sequential representation mining, and feature…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Hossein Estiri , Zachary H. Strasser , Shawn N. Murphy

This work provides an overview on deterministic and stochastic models that have previously been proposed by us to study the transmission dynamics of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Europe and USA. Briefly, we describe realistic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-07-11 Giorgio Sonnino , Philippe Peeters , Pasquale Nardone

Background: Recent work showed that the temporal growth of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective control interventions are in place. Taking this into consideration, we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-24 S. Triambak , D. P. Mahapatra , N. Mallick , R. Sahoo

We recently described a dynamic causal model of a COVID-19 outbreak within a single region. Here, we combine several of these (epidemic) models to create a (pandemic) model of viral spread among regions. Our focus is on a second wave of new…

The choices that researchers make while conducting a statistical analysis usually have a notable impact on the results. This fact has become evident in the ongoing research of the association between the environment and the evolution of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Álvaro Briz-Redón

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) spread forecasting is an important task to track the growth of the pandemic. Existing predictions are merely based on qualitative analyses and mathematical modeling. The use of available big data with machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Novanto Yudistira

The paper focuses on econometrically justified robust analysis of the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on financial markets in different countries across the World. It provides the results of robust estimation and inference on predictive…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-14 Walter Distaso , Rustam Ibragimov , Alexander Semenov , Anton Skrobotov

Millions of people are infected by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID19) around the world. Machine Learning (ML) techniques are being used for COVID19 detection research from the beginning of the epidemic. This article represents the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-18 Md Fahimuzzman Sohan

Mathematical models are widely recognized as an important tool for analyzing and understanding the dynamics of infectious disease outbreaks, predict their future trends, and evaluate public health intervention measures for disease control…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-16 Yukun Tan , Durward Cator , Martial Ndeffo-Mbah , Ulisses Braga-Neto

The number of new infections per day is a key quantity for effective epidemic management. It can be estimated relatively directly by testing of random population samples. Without such direct epidemiological measurement, other approaches are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-18 Simon N. Wood

Applying a ML approach to the temporal variability of the Spike protein sequence enables us to identify, classify and track emerging virus variants. Our analysis is unbiased, in the sense that it does not require any prior knowledge of the…

Traditionally, the identification of parameters in the formulation and solution of inverse problems considers that models, variables and mathematical parameters are free of uncertainties. This aspect simplifies the estimation process, but…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-02 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Gustavo Mendes Platt