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This paper concerns the construction of confidence intervals in standard seroprevalence surveys. In particular, we discuss methods for constructing confidence intervals for the proportion of individuals in a population infected with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Thomas J. DiCiccio , David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

The Cox regression model and its associated hazard ratio (HR) are frequently used for summarizing the effect of treatments on time to event outcomes. However, the HR's interpretation strongly depends on the assumed underlying survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Pablo Martinez-Camblor , Todd A. MacKenzie , A. James O'Malley

Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is an approach to sampling design and inference in hard-to-reach human populations. Typically, a sampling frame is not available, and population members are difficult to identify or recruit from broader…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-28 Mark S. Handcock , Krista J. Gile , Corinne M. Mar

It is common when using cross-section or panel data to assign each observation to a cluster and allow for arbitrary patterns of heteroskedasticity and correlation within clusters. For regression models, there are many ways to make…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-03 James G. MacKinnon

Traditional analyses of capture-recapture data are based on likelihood functions that explicitly integrate out all missing data. We use a complete data likelihood (CDL) to show how a wide range of capture-recapture models can be easily…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-09-21 Matthew R. Schofield , Richard J. Barker

In order to estimate the proportion of `immune' or `cured' subjects who will never experience failure, a sufficiently long follow-up period is required. Several statistical tests have been proposed in the literature for assessing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Tsz Pang Yuen , Eni Musta

This paper introduces the R package drpop to flexibly estimate total population size from incomplete lists. Total population estimation, also called capture-recapture, is an important problem in many biological and social sciences. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Manjari Das , Edward H. Kennedy

In this paper, we consider capture-recapture experiments with heterogenous catchability. In the setting we consider, the widespread Huggins-Alho estimator is not very suitable and we introduce and study a new generalized Horvitz-Thompson…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-11-09 Yakir Berchenko , Richard G. White , Cyprian Wejnert , Simon D. W. Frost

Estimating the size of an elusive target population is of prominent interest in many areas in the life and social sciences. Our aim is to provide an efficient and workable method to estimate the unknown population size, given the frequency…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-07-28 Irene Rocchetti , John Bunge , Dankmar Böhning

The g-formula can be used to estimate the treatment effect while accounting for confounding bias in observational studies. With regard to time-to-event endpoints, possibly subject to competing risks, the construction of valid pointwise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-03 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

The time-dependent reproduction number Rt can be used to track pathogen transmission and to assess the efficacy of interventions. This quantity can be estimated by fitting renewal equation models to time series of infectious disease case…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-30 Ioana Bouros , Robin Thompson , David Gavaghan , Ben Lambert

Acoustic spatial capture-recapture (ASCR) surveys with an array of synchronized acoustic detectors can be an effective way of estimating animal density or call density. However, constructing the capture histories required for ASCR analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Yuheng Wang , Juan Ye , Weiye Li , David L. Borchers

Obtaining reliable and precise estimates of wildlife species abundance and distribution is essential for the conservation and management of animal populations and natural reserves. Spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models provide estimates of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Clara Panchaud , Ruth King , David Borchers , Hannah Worthington , Ian Durbach , Paul Van Dam-Bates

Estimating the size of stigmatized, hidden, or hard-to-reach populations is a major problem in epidemiology, demography, and public health research. Capture-recapture and multiplier methods have become standard tools for inference of hidden…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-01 Forrest W. Crawford , Jiacheng Wu , Robert Heimer

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

Causal identification of treatment effects for infectious disease outcomes in interconnected populations is challenging because infection outcomes may be transmissible to others, and treatment given to one individual may affect others'…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Xiaoxuan Cai , Eben Kenah , Forrest W. Crawford

Dual-record system (DRS) (equivalently two sample Capture-recapture experiment) model with time and behavioral response variation, has attracted much attention specifically in the domain of Official Statistics and Epidemiology. The relevant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-09 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Diganta Mukherjee

Our aim is to estimate the largest community (a.k.a., mode) in a population composed of multiple disjoint communities. This estimation is performed in a fixed confidence setting via sequential sampling of individuals with replacement. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-25 Meera Pai , Nikhil Karamchandani , Jayakrishnan Nair

Knowledge of population distribution is critical for building infrastructure, distributing resources, and monitoring the progress of sustainable development goals. Although censuses can provide this information, they are typically conducted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-07 Isaac Neal , Sohan Seth , Gary Watmough , Mamadou S. Diallo

In this paper, we expand upon and refine a monitoring strategy proposed for surveillance of diseases in finite, closed populations. This monitoring strategy consists of augmenting an arbitrarily non-representative data stream (such as a…