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One of the common goals of time series analysis is to use the observed series to inform predictions for future observations. In the absence of any actual new data to predict, cross-validation can be used to estimate a model's future…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-02 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

We obtain the upper error bounds of robust estimators for mean vector, using the median-of-means (MOM) method. The method is designed to handle data with heavy tails and contamination, with only a finite second moment, which is weaker than…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-12 Yuxuan Wang , Yiming Chen , Hanchao Wang , Lixin Zhang

It is known that the Thresholded Lasso (TL), SCAD or MCP correct intrinsic estimation bias of the Lasso. In this paper we propose an alternative method of improving the Lasso for predictive models with general convex loss functions which…

Cross-validation plays a fundamental role in Machine Learning, enabling robust evaluation of model performance and preventing overestimation on training and validation data. However, one of its drawbacks is the potential to create data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-28 Afonso Martini Spezia , Thomas Fontanari , Mariana Recamonde-Mendoza

Vector-valued learning, where the output space admits a vector-valued structure, is an important problem that covers a broad family of important domains, e.g. multi-task learning and transfer learning. Using local Rademacher complexity and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-30 Jian Li , Yong Liu , Weiping Wang

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

Despite a large and significant body of recent work focused on estimating the out-of-sample risk of regularized models in the high dimensional regime, a theoretical understanding of this problem for non-differentiable penalties such as…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-15 Haolin Zou , Arnab Auddy , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Arian Maleki

We study the problem of multiclass classification for settings where data features $\mathbf{x}$ and their labels $\mathbf{y}$ are uncertain. We identify that distributionally robust one-vs-all (OVA) classifiers often struggle in settings…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Michael Ibrahim , Heraldo Rozas , Nagi Gebraeel

In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for empirical risk minimizers. In the general setting, we prove sanity-check bounds in the spirit of \cite{KR99}…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-11-02 Matthieu Cornec

The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-23 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

We study the problem of out-of-sample risk estimation in the high dimensional regime where both the sample size $n$ and number of features $p$ are large, and $n/p$ can be less than one. Extensive empirical evidence confirms the accuracy of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-05 Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Wenda Zhou , Arian Maleki

We present upper and lower bounds for the prediction error of the Lasso. For the case of random Gaussian design, we show that under mild conditions the prediction error of the Lasso is up to smaller order terms dominated by the prediction…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-04 Sara van de Geer

The lasso procedure is ubiquitous in the statistical and signal processing literature, and as such, is the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. While much of this research focuses on the desirable properties that lasso…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-06 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

In this paper, we correct an upper bound, presented in~\cite{hs-11}, on the generalisation error of classifiers learned through multiple kernel learning. The bound in~\cite{hs-11} uses Rademacher complexity and has an\emph{additive}…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-05-13 Zakria Hussain , John Shawe-Taylor , Mario Marchand

This article studies the achievable guarantees on the error rates of certain learning algorithms, with particular focus on refining logarithmic factors. Many of the results are based on a general technique for obtaining bounds on the error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-13 Steve Hanneke

Variational inference has become an increasingly attractive fast alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, a major obstacle to the widespread use of variational methods is the lack of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Trevor Campbell , Tamara Broderick

We introduce a novel procedure for obtaining cross-validated predictive estimates for Bayesian hierarchical regression models (BHRMs). Bayesian hierarchical models are popular for their ability to model complex dependence structures and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-01 Amy X. Zhang , Le Bao , Changcheng Li , Michael J. Daniels

We establish upper bounds for the expected excess risk of models trained by proper iterative algorithms which approximate the local minima. Unlike the results built upon the strong globally strongly convexity or global growth conditions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Mingyang Yi , Ruoyu Wang , Zhi-Ming Ma

The covariance matrix plays a fundamental role in many modern exploratory and inferential statistical procedures, including dimensionality reduction, hypothesis testing, and regression. In low-dimensional regimes, where the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Philippe Boileau , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Sandrine Dudoit

In practical conjugate gradient (CG) computations it is important to monitor the quality of the approximate solution to $Ax=b$ so that the CG algorithm can be stopped when the required accuracy is reached. The relevant convergence…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-10-05 Gérard Meurant , Petr Tichý