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In this paper, we will see that the proportion of d as leading digit, d $\in$ 1, 9, in data (obtained thanks to the hereunder developed model) is more likely to follow a law whose probability distribution is determined by a specific upper…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-13 Stéphane Blondeau da Silva

This paper investigates the relationship between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, the state of community activity, and the financial index performance across 20 countries. First, we analyze which countries behaved similarly in 2020 with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-17 Nick James , Max Menzies

Accurate and representative data is vital for precisely reporting the impact of influenza in healthcare systems. Northern hemisphere winter 2022/23 experienced the most substantial influenza wave since the COVID-19 pandemic began in 2020.…

In this paper, we study the trending behaviour of COVID-19 data at country level, and draw attention to some existing econometric tools which are potentially helpful to understand the trend better in future studies. In our empirical study,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-25 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Oliver Linton , Bin Peng

Successful predictive modeling of epidemics requires an understanding of the implicit feedback control strategies which are implemented by populations to modulate the spread of contagion. While this task of capturing endogenous behavior can…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-03-31 Ali Jadbabaie , Arnab Sarker , Devavrat Shah

This paper describes how mobile phone data can guide government and public health authorities in determining the best course of action to control the COVID-19 pandemic and in assessing the effectiveness of control measures such as physical…

Digital contact tracing and analysis of social distancing from smartphone location data are two prime examples of non-therapeutic interventions used in many countries to mitigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. While many understand…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-11 Anindya Ghose , Beibei Li , Meghanath Macha , Chenshuo Sun , Natasha Ying Zhang Foutz

Epidemiological models increasingly rely on self-reported behavioral data such as vaccination status, mask usage, and social distancing adherence to forecast disease transmission and assess the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Bud Mishra , Naren Ramakrishnan

Many countries have experienced at least two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. The second wave is far more dangerous as distinct strains appear more harmful to human health, but it stems from the complacency about the first wave. This paper…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-29 Edilson F. Arruda , Tarun Sharma , Rodrigo e A. Alexandre , Sinnu Susan Thomas

Public debates driven by incomplete scientific data where nobody can claim absolute certainty, due to current state of scientific knowledge, are studied. The cases of evolution theory, global warming and H1N1 pandemic influenza are…

科普物理 · 物理学 2015-05-18 Serge Galam

Are COVID-19 fatalities large when a federal government does not enforce containment policies and instead allow states to implement their own policies? We answer this question by developing a stochastic extension of a SIRD epidemiological…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-16 Jean-Paul Renne , Guillaume Roussellet , Gustavo Schwenkler

The yearly aggregated tax income data of all, more than 8000, Italian municipalities are analyzed for a period of five years, from 2007 to 2011, to search for conformity or not with Benford's law, a counter-intuitive phenomenon observed in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-11-10 Tariq Ahmad Mir , Marcel Ausloos , Roy Cerqueti

Since the World Health Organization (WHO) characterized COVID-19 as a pandemic in March 2020, there have been over 600 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 and more than six million deaths as of October 2022. The relationship between the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Hanjia Lyu , Arsal Imtiaz , Yufei Zhao , Jiebo Luo

We provide an insight into the open data resources pertinent to the study of the spread of Covid-19 pandemic and its control. We identify the variables required to analyze fundamental aspects like seasonal behaviour, regional mortality…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2020-05-12 Teodoro Alamo , Daniel G. Reina , Martina Mammarella , Alberto Abella

In this article, we conduct data mining to discover the countries, universities and companies, produced or collaborated the most research on Covid-19 since the pandemic started. We present some interesting findings, but despite analysing…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Petar Radanliev , David De Roure , Rob Walton , Max Van Kleek , Omar Santos , La Treall Maddox

Assessing the trend of the COVID-19 pandemic and policy effectiveness is essential for both policymakers and stock investors, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed and the previous index was not suitable for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-06 J. Su , Q. Zhong

In this work, we contribute the first visual open-source empirical study on human behaviour during the COVID-19 pandemic, in order to investigate how compliant a general population is to mask-wearing-related public-health policy.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-23 Yuxi Heluo , Kexin Wang , Charles W. Robson

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments faced the challenge of managing population behavior to prevent their healthcare systems from collapsing. Sweden adopted a strategy centered on voluntary sanitary recommendations while Belgium…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-17 Tijs W. Alleman , Jan M. Baetens

We adopt an artificial counterfactual approach to assess the impact of lockdowns on the short-run evolution of the number of cases and deaths in some US states. To do so, we explore the different timing in which US states adopted lockdown…

Benford's law is an empirical law predicting the distribution of the first significant digits of numbers obtained from natural phenomena and mathematical tables. It has been found to be applicable for numbers coming from a plethora of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-09-05 Ameya Deepak Rane , Utkarsh Mishra , Anindya Biswas , Aditi Sen De , Ujjwal Sen