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Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

The development of new methods and representations for temporal decision-making requires a principled basis for characterizing and measuring the flexibility of decision strategies in the face of uncertainty. Our goal in this paper is to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Tom Chavez , Ross D. Shachter

Decision Focused Learning has emerged as a critical paradigm for integrating machine learning with downstream optimisation. Despite its promise, existing methodologies predominantly rely on probabilistic models and focus narrowly on task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-21 Keivan Shariatmadar , Neil Yorke-Smith , Ahmad Osman , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens

There are two major types of uncertainty one can model. Aleatoric uncertainty captures noise inherent in the observations. On the other hand, epistemic uncertainty accounts for uncertainty in the model -- uncertainty which can be explained…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-10-06 Alex Kendall , Yarin Gal

As data-driven intelligent systems advance, the need for reliable and transparent decision-making mechanisms has become increasingly important. Therefore, it is essential to integrate uncertainty quantification and model explainability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-13 Nijat Mehdiyev , Maxim Majlatow , Peter Fettke

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

In meta-analysis with continuous outcomes, the use of effect sizes based on the means is the most common. It is often found, however, that only the quantile summary measures are reported in some studies, and in certain scenarios, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Alysha M De Livera , Luke Prendergast , Udara Kumaranathunga

Chain-of-Thought reasoning has driven large language models to extend from thinking with text to thinking with images and videos. However, different modalities still have clear limitations: static images struggle to represent temporal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Andong Chen , Wenxin Zhu , Qiuyu Ding , Yuchen Song , Muyun Yang , Tiejun Zhao

Visual representations of data (visualizations) are tools of great importance and widespread use in data analytics as they provide users visual insight to patterns in the observed data in a simple and effective way. However, since…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2018-11-05 Lorenzo De Stefani , Leonhard F. Spiegelberg , Tim Kraska , Eli Upfal

Alternative text is critical in communicating graphics to people who are blind or have low vision. Especially for graphics that contain rich information, such as visualizations, poorly written or an absence of alternative texts can worsen…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Crescentia Jung , Shubham Mehta , Atharva Kulkarni , Yuhang Zhao , Yea-Seul Kim

Visual representation learning is ubiquitous in various real-world applications, including visual comprehension, video understanding, multi-modal analysis, human-computer interaction, and urban computing. Due to the emergence of huge…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-23 Yang Liu , Yushen Wei , Hong Yan , Guanbin Li , Liang Lin

Various methods have recently been proposed to estimate causal effects with confidence intervals that are uniformly valid over a set of data generating processes when high-dimensional nuisance models are estimated by post-model-selection or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Niloofar Moosavi , Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna

The estimation of uncertainties associated with predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models can accelerate the drug discovery process by identifying promising experiments and allowing an efficient allocation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Emma Svensson , Susanne Winiwarter , Lewis Mervin , Adam Arany , Ola Engkvist

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

Data visualization should be accessible for all analysts with data, not just the few with technical expertise. Visualization recommender systems aim to lower the barrier to exploring basic visualizations by automatically generating results…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-08-16 Kevin Z. Hu , Michiel A. Bakker , Stephen Li , Tim Kraska , César A. Hidalgo

Referents are often used to enhance scale perception in immersive visualizations. Common referent designs include the considerations of referent layout (side-by-side vs. in-situ) and referent size (small vs. medium vs. large). This paper…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Yihan Hou , Hao Cui , Rongrong Chen , Wei Zeng

To analyze the uncertain data frequently encountered in practice, this paper proposes novel fixed-effects models that incorporate an uncertain measure to investigate variables of interest and nuisance variables in factor designs. First, an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Fan Zhang , Zhiming Li

Target disambiguation is crucial in resolving input ambiguity in augmented reality (AR), especially for queries over distant objects or cluttered scenes on the go. Yet, visual feedforward techniques that support this process remain…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Ching-Yi Tsai , Nicole Tacconi , Andrew D. Wilson , Parastoo Abtahi

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

Explaining how to get from A to B can be challenging. It requires mentally simulating what the listener will do based on what they are told. To capture this process, we propose a computational model that converts utterances into action…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Hanqi Zhou , Britt Besch , Charley M. Wu , Tobias Gerstenberg