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Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven method of extracting spatial-temporal coherent modes from complex systems and providing an equation-free architecture to model and predict systems. However, in practical applications, the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-07 Ningxin Liu , Shuigen Liu , Xin T. Tong , Lijian Jiang

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

Because reinforcement learning suffers from a lack of scalability, online value (and Q-) function approximation has received increasing interest this last decade. This contribution introduces a novel approximation scheme, namely the Kalman…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-06-13 Matthieu Geist , Olivier Pietquin

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus

This paper proposes an Extended-Kalman-Filter-like observer for parameter estimation during synchronization of chaotic systems. The exponential stability of the observer is guaranteed by a persistent excitation condition. This approach is…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-06-21 L. Torres

We consider the problem of forecasting multivariate time series by a Seemingly Unrelated Time Series Equations (SUTSE) model. The SUTSE model usually assumes that error variables are correlated. A crucial issue is that the model estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-11 Wataru Yoshida , Kei Hirose

Linear dynamical systems are the foundational statistical model upon which control theory is built. Both the celebrated Kalman filter and the linear quadratic regulator require knowledge of the system dynamics to provide analytic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-24 Ainesh Bakshi , Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra , Morris Yau

In areas such as finance, engineering, and science, we often face situations that change quickly and unpredictably. These situations are tough to handle and require special tools and methods capable of understanding and predicting what…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-23 Wencheng Bao , Shi Feng , Kaiwen Zhang

There has been an increasing surge of interest on development of advanced Reinforcement Learning (RL) systems as intelligent approaches to learn optimal control policies directly from smart agents' interactions with the environment.…

Kalman filtering and smoothing algorithms are used in many areas, including tracking and navigation, medical applications, and financial trend filtering. One of the basic assumptions required to apply the Kalman smoothing framework is that…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-03-21 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke

In many important applications of precision medicine, the outcome of interest is time to an event (e.g., death, relapse of disease) and the primary goal is to identify the optimal individualized decision rule (IDR) to prolong survival time.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Yu Zhou , Lan Wang , Rui Song , Tuoyi Zhao

In this work, we develop a scalable approach for a flexible latent factor model for high-dimensional dynamical systems. Each latent factor process has its own correlation and variance parameters, and the orthogonal factor loading matrix can…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Yizi Lin , Xubo Liu , Paul Segall , Mengyang Gu

The estimation of spatiotemporal data from limited sensor measurements is a required task across many scientific disciplines. The sensor selection problem, which aims to optimize the placement of sensors, leverages innovations in greedy…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-12-19 Jiazhong Mei , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

We develop time integration methods in low-rank representation that can adaptively adjust approximation ranks to achieve a prescribed accuracy, while ensuring that these ranks remain proportional to the corresponding best approximation…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-07-22 Markus Bachmayr , Matthieu Dolbeault , Polina Sachsenmaier

This paper presents a new filter for state-space models based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, allowing for nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and degeneracy in the observation and/or state-transition equations. The resulting Bellman…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Rutger-Jan Lange

We combine high-dimensional factor models with fractional integration methods and derive models where nonstationary, potentially cointegrated data of different persistence is modelled as a function of common fractionally integrated factors.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-12 Tobias Hartl

We present a stochastic predictive controller for discrete time linear time invariant systems under incomplete state information. Our approach is based on a suitable choice of control policies, stability constraints, and employment of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-27 Prabhat Kumar Mishra , Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel E. Quevedo