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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic has led many countries to impose unprecedented lockdown measures in order to slow down the outbreak. Questions on whether governments have acted promptly enough, and whether lockdown…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-04 Zhaozhi Qian , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Public policy must confront emergencies that evolve in real time and in uncertain directions, yet little is known about the nature of policy response. Here we take the coronavirus pandemic as a global and extraordinarily consequential case,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-25 Jian Gao , Yian Yin , Benjamin F. Jones , Dashun Wang

COVID-19 was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11th, 2020. With half of the world's countries in lockdown as of April due to this pandemic, monitoring and understanding the spread of the virus and infection…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-09 Kelvin K. F. Li , Stephen A. Jarvis , Fayyaz Minhas

Disease outbreaks force the governments to rapid decisions to deal with. However, the rapid stream of decision-making could be costly in terms of the democratic representativeness. The aim of the paper is to investigate the trade-off…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-18 A. E. Biondo , G. Brosio , A. Pluchino , R. Zanola

The SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 disease have posed unprecedented and overwhelming demand, challenges and opportunities to domain, model and data driven modeling. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the challenges, tasks,…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Longbing Cao , Qing Liu

The cumulative number of confirmed infected individuals by the new coronavirus outbreak until April 30th, 2020, is presented for the countries: Belgium, Brazil, United Kingdom (UK), and United States of America (USA). After an initial…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-03 Eduardo L. Brugnago , Rafael M. da Silva , Cesar Manchein , Marcus W. Beims

Large-scale human mobility data is a key resource in data-driven policy making and across many scientific fields. Most recently, mobility data was extensively used during the COVID-19 pandemic to study the effects of governmental policies…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-24 Frank Schlosser , Vedran Sekara , Dirk Brockmann , Manuel Garcia-Herranz

Social media platforms have had considerable impact on the real world especially during the Covid-19 pandemic. Misinformation related to Covid-19 might have caused significant impact on the population specifically due to its association…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-01-18 Hussam Habib , Rishab Nithyanand

Vaccines are among the most powerful tools used to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. They are highly effective against infection and substantially reduce the risk of severe disease, hospitalization, ICU admission, and death. However, their…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-04-07 Marc Wiedermann , Annika H. Rose , Benjamin F. Maier , Jakob J. Kolb , David Hinrichs , Dirk Brockmann

The role of epidemiological models is crucial for informing public health officials during a public health emergency, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. However, traditional epidemiological models fail to capture the time-varying effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Adam Spannaus , Theodore Papamarkou , Samantha Erwin , J. Blair Christian

Mathematical models describing SARS-CoV-2 dynamics and the corresponding immune responses in patients with COVID-19 can be critical to evaluate possible clinical outcomes of antiviral treatments. In this work, based on the concept of virus…

This paper analyzes the impact of COVID-19 on the populations and equity markets of 92 countries. We compare country-by-country equity market dynamics to cumulative COVID-19 case and death counts and new case trajectories. First, we examine…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-24 Nick James , Max Menzies

More than any other infectious disease epidemic, the COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by the generation of large volumes of viral genomic data at an incredible pace due to recent advances in high-throughput sequencing technologies,…

As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has shown profound effects on public health and the economy worldwide, it becomes crucial to assess the impact on the virus transmission and develop effective strategies to address the challenge. A…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Chih-Li Sung

Many governments have managed to control their COVID-19 outbreak with a simple message: keep the effective '$R$ number' $R<1$ to prevent widespread contagion and flatten the curve. This raises the question whether a similar policy could…

COVID-19 is not a universal killer. We study the spread of COVID-19 at the county level for the United States up until the 15$^{th}$ of August, 2020. We show that the prevalence of the disease and the death rate are correlated with the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-07-01 Ayan Paul , Philipp Englert , Melinda Varga

Evaluating relative changes leads to additional insights which would remain hidden when only evaluating absolute changes. We analyze a dataset describing mobility of mobile phones in Austria before, during COVID-19 lock-down measures until…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-09 Georg Heiler , Allan Hanbury , Peter Filzmoser

Numerous COVID-19 clinical decision support systems have been developed. However many of these systems do not have the merit for validity due to methodological shortcomings including algorithmic bias. Methods Logistic regression models were…

Classically, endemic infectious diseases are expected to display relatively stable, predictable infection dynamics. Accordingly, basic disease models such as the susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible model display stable endemic states…

The rapid spread of the new SARS-CoV-2 virus triggered a global health crisis disproportionately impacting people with pre-existing health conditions and particular demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. One of the main concerns of…