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Dynamic Treatment Regimes (DTRs) provide a systematic framework for optimizing sequential decision-making in chronic disease management, where therapies must adapt to patients' evolving clinical profiles. Inverse probability weighting (IPW)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Chloe Si , David A. Stephens , Erica E. M. Moodie

Win measures, including the win ratio (WR), win odds (WO), net benefit (NB), and desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR), are increasingly used in randomized clinical trials with multiple hierarchical ordinal endpoints. In practice, however,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Yi Liu , Huiman Barnhart , Sean O'Brien , Yuliya Lokhnygina , Roland A. Matsouaka

Marginal structural models (MSMs) allow for causal analysis of longitudinal data. The MSMs were originally developed as discrete time models. Recently, continuous-time MSMs were presented as a conceptually appealing alternative for survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Pål Christie Ryalen , Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland

We propose a new finite sample corrected variance estimator for the linear generalized method of moments (GMM) including the one-step, two-step, and iterated estimators. Our formula additionally corrects for the over-identification bias in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-03 Jungbin Hwang , Byunghoon Kang , Seojeong Lee

Propensity score methods are increasingly being used to reduce estimation bias of treatment effects for observational studies. Previous research has shown that propensity score methods consistently estimate the marginal hazard ratio for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Haodi Liang , Cecilia Cotton

In this paper, we extend the existing double linear policy by incorporating time-varying weights instead of constant weights and study a certain robustness property, called robust positive expectation (RPE), in a discrete-time setting. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-17 Xin-Yu Wang , Chung-Han Hsieh

We study counterfactual classification as a new tool for decision-making under hypothetical (contrary to fact) scenarios. We propose a doubly-robust nonparametric estimator for a general counterfactual classifier, where we can incorporate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , José R. Zubizarreta

This paper constructs a doubly robust estimator for continuous dose-response estimation. An outcome regression model is augmented with a set of inverse generalized propensity score covariates to correct for potential misspecification bias.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-17 Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy , David A. Stephens

Doubly robust (DR) estimators guard against model misspecification but remain sensitive to weak covariate overlap. We show that trimming propensity scores reduces variance but eliminates double robustness. We introduce DR estimators that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-17 Yukun Ma , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

Anecdotally, using an estimated propensity score is superior to the true propensity score in estimating the average treatment effect based on observational data. However, this claim comes with several qualifications: it holds only if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-03 Fangzhou Su , Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright

We study multiply robust (MR) estimators of the longitudinal g-computation formula of Robins (1986). In the first part of this paper we review and extend the recently proposed parametric multiply robust estimators of Tchetgen-Tchetgen…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Andrea Rotnitzky , James Robins , Lucia Babino

The development of coherent missing data models to account for nonmonotone missing at random (MAR) data by inverse probability weighting (IPW) remains to date largely unresolved. As a consequence, IPW has essentially been restricted for use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-23 BaoLuo Sun , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

With continuous outcomes, the average causal effect is typically defined using a contrast of expected potential outcomes. However, in the presence of skewed outcome data, the expectation may no longer be meaningful. In practice the typical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-06 Daisy A. Shepherd , Benjamin R. Baer , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

Two-phase designs measure variables of interest on a subcohort where the outcome and covariates are readily available or cheap to collect on all individuals in the cohort. Given limited resource availability, it is of interest to find an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Tong Chen , Thomas Lumley

Case-control studies are designed towards studying associations between risk factors and a single, primary outcome. Information about additional, secondary outcomes is also collected, but association studies targeting such secondary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-17 Tamar Sofer , Marilyn C. Cornelis , Peter Kraft , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

In this paper we address the challenges posed by non-proportional hazards and informative censoring, offering a path toward more meaningful causal inference conclusions. We start from the marginal structural Cox model, which has been widely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-15 Jiyu Luo , Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic , Ronghui Xu

Subsampling techniques can reduce the computational costs of processing big data. Practical subsampling plans typically involve initial uniform sampling and refined sampling. With a subsample, big data inferences are generally built on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Yan Fan , Yang Liu , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

Doubly robust estimators have gained popularity in the field of causal inference due to their ability to provide consistent point estimates when either an outcome or exposure model is correctly specified. However, for nonrandomized…

Two fundamental research tasks in science and engineering are forward predictions and data inversion. This article introduces a recent R package RobustCalibration for Bayesian data inversion and model calibration by experiments and field…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Mengyang Gu