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Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

In the presence of weak overall correlation, it may be useful to investigate if the correlation is significantly and substantially more pronounced over a subpopulation. Two different testing procedures are compared. Both are based on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-04-22 Stephen Bamattre , Rex Hu , Joseph S. Verducci

Estimation of the covariance matrix has attracted a lot of attention of the statistical research community over the years, partially due to important applications such as Principal Component Analysis. However, frequently used empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Stanislav Minsker

Many data-science applications involve detecting a shared signal between two high-dimensional variables. Using random matrix theory methods, we determine when such signal can be detected and reconstructed from sample correlations, despite…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2026-04-07 Arabind Swain , Sean Alexander Ridout , Ilya Nemenman

In structural credit risk models, default events and the ensuing losses are both derived from the asset values at maturity. Hence it is of utmost importance to choose a distribution for these asset values which is in accordance with…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-01-13 Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

Estimation of high dimensional covariance matrices is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we propose a dynamic structure and develop an estimation procedure for high dimensional covariance matrices. Asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-05 Shaojun Guo , John Box , Wenyang Zhang

The properties of the normal distribution under linear transformation, as well the easy way to compute the covariance matrix of marginals and conditionals, offer a unique opportunity to get an insight about several aspects of uncertainties…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-02-12 Giulio D'Agostini

The matrix-variate normal distribution is a popular model for high-dimensional transposable data because it decomposes the dependence structure of the random matrix into the Kronecker product of two covariance matrices: one for each of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-11 Anestis Touloumis , John Marioni , Simon Tavaré

Modeling and managing portfolio risk is perhaps the most important step to achieve growing and preserving investment performance. Within the modern portfolio construction framework that built on Markowitz's theory, the covariance matrix of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-10-28 Hengxu Lin , Dong Zhou , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

Financial correlation matrices measure the unsystematic correlations between stocks. Such information is important for risk management. The correlation matrices are known to be ``noise dressed''. We develop a new and alternative method to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Thomas Guhr , Bernd Kaelber

Accurate and precise covariance matrices will be important in enabling planned cosmological surveys to detect new physics. Standard methods imply either the need for many N-body simulations in order to obtain an accurate estimate, or a…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-13 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

Gaussian graphical models are widely utilized to infer and visualize networks of dependencies between continuous variables. However, inferring the graph is difficult when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-30 Emilie Devijver , Mélina Gallopin

Gaussian graphical models are of great interest in statistical learning. Because the conditional independencies between different nodes correspond to zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix of the Gaussian distribution, one can learn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-11-02 Katya Scheinberg , Shiqian Ma , Donald Goldfarb

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

The operating status of power systems is influenced by growing varieties of factors, resulting from the developing sizes and complexity of power systems; in this situation, the modelbased methods need be revisited. A data-driven method, as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-07 Xinyi Xu , Xing He , Qian Ai , Robert C. Qiu

Spectral analysis plays a crucial role in high-dimensional statistics, where determining the asymptotic distribution of various spectral statistics remains a challenging task. Due to the difficulties of deriving the analytic form, recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-02 Guoyu Zhang , Dandan Jiang , Fang Yao

We construct an ensemble of correlation matrices from high-frequency foreign exchange market data, with one matrix for every day for 446 days. The matrices are symmetric and have vanishing diagonal elements after subtracting the identity…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-13 George Barnes , Sanjaye Ramgoolam , Michael Stephanou

Due to their parsimony, separable covariance models have been popular in modeling matrix-variate data. However, the inference from such a model may be misleading if the population covariance matrix $\Sigma$ is actually non-separable,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Bongjung Sung , Peter D. Hoff