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This paper is focused on the statistical analysis of data consisting of a collection of multiple series of probability measures that are indexed by distinct time instants and supported over a bounded interval of the real line. By modeling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot

The analysis of samples of random objects that do not lie in a vector space is gaining increasing attention in statistics. An important class of such object data is univariate probability measures defined on the real line. Adopting the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Yaqing Chen , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Müller

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

The problem of modeling the relationship between univariate distributions and one or more explanatory variables has found increasing interest. Traditional functional data methods cannot be applied directly to distributional data because of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

This paper addresses a new active learning strategy for regression problems. The presented Wasserstein active regression model is based on the principles of distribution-matching to measure the representativeness of the labeled dataset. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Benjamin Bobbia , Matthias Picard

Wasserstein autoregression provides a robust framework for modeling serial dependence among probability distributions, with wide-ranging applications in economics, finance, and climate science. In this paper, we develop portmanteau-type…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Chenxiao Dai , Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Xiaofeng Shao

Adversarial examples are crafted by adding indistinguishable perturbations to normal examples in order to fool a well-trained deep learning model to misclassify. In the context of computer vision, this notion of indistinguishability is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-23 Wenjie Wang , Li Xiong , Jian Lou

We study data-driven decision problems where historical observations are generated by a time-evolving distribution whose consecutive shifts are bounded in Wasserstein distance. We address this nonstationarity using a distributionally robust…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-25 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Edward J. Anderson , Wolfram Wiesemann

Many studies have been conducted on flows of probability measures, often in terms of gradient flows. We utilize a generalized notion of derivatives with respect to time to model the instantaneous evolution of empirically observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-16 Yaqing Chen , Hans-Georg Müller

Motivated by the application to German interest rates, we propose a timevarying autoregressive model for short and long term prediction of time series that exhibit a temporary non-stationary behavior but are assumed to mean revert in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Christoph Berninger , Almond Stöcker , David Rügamer

Discrete diffusion models have emerged as a powerful paradigm for generative modeling on sequence data; however, the information-theoretic principles governing their reverse processes remain significantly less understood than those of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Alberto Foresti , Mustapha Bounoua , Giulio Franzese , Luca Ambrogioni , Pietro Michiardi

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

We introduce principal curves in Wasserstein space, and in general compact metric spaces. Our motivation for the Wasserstein case comes from optimal-transport-based trajectory inference, where a developing population of cells traces out a…

We present a novel computational framework for density control in high-dimensional state spaces. The considered dynamical system consists of a large number of indistinguishable agents whose behaviors can be collectively modeled as a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-07-26 Shaojun Ma , Mengxue Hou , Xiaojing Ye , Haomin Zhou

Estimating the density of a distribution from samples is a fundamental problem in statistics. In many practical settings, the Wasserstein distance is an appropriate error metric for density estimation. For example, when estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Vitaly Feldman , Audra McMillan , Satchit Sivakumar , Kunal Talwar

The fundamental task of general density estimation $p(x)$ has been of keen interest to machine learning. In this work, we attempt to systematically characterize methods for density estimation. Broadly speaking, most of the existing methods…

We propose algorithms for sampling from posterior path measures $P(C([0, T], \mathbb{R}^d))$ under a general prior process. This leverages ideas from (1) controlled equilibrium dynamics, which gradually transport between two path measures,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Qijia Jiang , Reuben Cohn-Gordon

Many scientific systems, such as cellular populations or economic cohorts, are naturally described by probability distributions that evolve over time. Predicting how such a system would have evolved under different forces or initial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Tristan Luca Saidi , Gonzalo Mena , Larry Wasserman , Florian Gunsilius

Distribution data refers to a data set where each sample is represented as a probability distribution, a subject area receiving burgeoning interest in the field of statistics. Although several studies have developed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

Missing data can significantly hamper standard time series analysis, yet they occur frequently in applications. In this paper, we introduce temporal Wasserstein imputation, a novel method for imputing missing data in time series. Unlike…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-15 Shuo-Chieh Huang , Tengyuan Liang , Ruey S. Tsay
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