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Most real-world classification problems deal with imbalanced datasets, posing a challenge for Artificial Intelligence (AI), i.e., machine learning algorithms, because the minority class, which is of extreme interest, often proves difficult…

Recent work has focused on nonparametric estimation of conditional treatment effects, but inference has remained relatively unexplored. We propose a class of nonparametric tests for both quantitative and qualitative treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Oliver Dukes , Mats J. Stensrud , Riccardo Brioschi , Aaron Hudson

Randomized experiments have been used to assist decision-making in many areas. They help people select the optimal treatment for the test population with certain statistical guarantee. However, subjects can show significant heterogeneity in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-05-25 Yan Zhao , Xiao Fang , David Simchi-Levi

Additive models, such as produced by gradient boosting, and full interaction models, such as classification and regression trees (CART), are widely used algorithms that have been investigated largely in isolation. We show that these models…

We propose a new modeling and estimation approach to select the optimal treatment regime from different options through constructing a robust estimating equation. The method is protected against misspecification of the propensity score…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Wensheng Zhu , Yuanjia Wang

Suppose we have a binary treatment used to influence an outcome. Given data from an observational or controlled study, we wish to determine whether or not there exists some subset of observed covariates in which the treatment is more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-22 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

In observational studies of survival time featuring a binary time-dependent treatment, the hazard ratio (an instantaneous measure) is often used to represent the treatment effect. However, investigators are often more interested in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Yun Li , Douglas E. Schaubel , Kevin He

In many experimental or quasi-experimental studies, outcomes of interest are only observed for subjects who select (or are selected) to engage in the activity generating the outcome. Outcome data is thus endogenously missing for units who…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Cyrus Samii , Ye Wang , Junlong Aaron Zhou

Gradient boosting algorithms construct a regression predictor using a linear combination of ``base learners''. Boosting also offers an approach to obtaining robust non-parametric regression estimators that are scalable to applications with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-11 Xiaomeng Ju , Matías Salibián-Barrera

In randomized trials and observational studies, it is often necessary to evaluate the extent to which an intervention affects a time-to-event outcome, which is only partially observed due to right censoring. For instance, in infectious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Yutong Jin , Peter B. Gilbert , Aaron Hudson

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

The gradient boosting machine is a powerful ensemble-based machine learning method for solving regression problems. However, one of the difficulties of its using is a possible discontinuity of the regression function, which arises when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-22 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Deep learning models have demonstrated promising results in estimating treatment effects (TEE). However, most of them overlook the variations in treatment outcomes among subgroups with distinct characteristics. This limitation hinders their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-31 Seungyeon Lee , Ruoqi Liu , Wenyu Song , Ping Zhang

Boosting Trees are one of the most successful statistical learning approaches that involve sequentially growing an ensemble of simple regression trees (i.e., "weak learners"). However, gradient boosted trees are not yet available for…

Precise estimation of treatment effects is crucial for evaluating intervention effectiveness. While deep learning models have exhibited promising performance in learning counterfactual representations for treatment effect estimation (TEE),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Seungyeon Lee , Ruoqi Liu , Wenyu Song , Lang Li , Ping Zhang

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Haozhen Wu

Heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) based on patients' genetic or clinical factors are of significant interest to precision medicine. Simultaneously modeling HTE and corresponding main effects for randomized clinical trials with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-06 Heng Chen , Michael L. LeBlanc , James Y. Dai

We introduce a novel way to combine boosting with Gaussian process and mixed effects models. This allows for relaxing, first, the zero or linearity assumption for the prior mean function in Gaussian process and grouped random effects models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Fabio Sigrist

Individualized treatment rules can lead to better health outcomes when patients have heterogeneous responses to treatment. Very few individualized treatment rule estimation methods are compatible with a multi-treatment observational study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 Owen E. Leete , Nathan Kallus , Michael G. Hudgens , Sonia Napravnik , Michael R. Kosorok

Fraud detection is to identify, monitor, and prevent potentially fraudulent activities from complex data. The recent development and success in AI, especially machine learning, provides a new data-driven way to deal with fraud. From a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-19 Biao Xu , Yao Wang , Xiuwu Liao , Kaidong Wang