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In this paper, we establish sharp upper and lower bounds on the convergence rate of the empirical measures of point processes under the Wasserstein distance. To this end, we first introduce a new metric on the space of counting measures…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Dongzhou Huang , Tianyi Jiang , Haonan Wang

We develop a novel clustering method for distributional data, where each data point is regarded as a probability distribution on the real line. For distributional data, it has been challenging to develop a clustering method that utilizes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

Understanding causal relationships is one of the most important goals of modern science. So far, the causal inference literature has focused almost exclusively on outcomes coming from the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^p$. However, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Zhenhua Lin , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization offers a framework for model fitting in machine learning under potential shifts in the data distribution. We study a regularized variant of this problem in which entropic smoothing produces a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-28 Tam Le

We describe the use of an unsupervised Random Forest for similarity learning and improved unsupervised anomaly detection. By training a Random Forest to discriminate between real data and synthetic data sampled from a uniform distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Joshua S. Harvey , Joshua Rosaler , Mingshu Li , Dhruv Desai , Dhagash Mehta

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

The analysis of samples of random objects that do not lie in a vector space is gaining increasing attention in statistics. An important class of such object data is univariate probability measures defined on the real line. Adopting the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Yaqing Chen , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Müller

Researchers are often interested in treatment effects on outcomes that are only defined conditional on a post-treatment event status. For example, in a study of the effect of different cancer treatments on quality of life at end of…

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-09 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

As the demand to integrate Artificial Intelligence into high-stakes environments continues to grow, explaining the reasoning behind neural-network predictions has shifted from a theoretical curiosity to a strict operational requirement. Our…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Younes Essafouri , Laure Raynaud , Luciano Drozda , Laurent Risser

As opposed to standard empirical risk minimization (ERM), distributionally robust optimization aims to minimize the worst-case risk over a larger ambiguity set containing the original empirical distribution of the training data. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-06 Jaeho Lee , Maxim Raginsky

We extend Fisher's randomization test (FRT) to test conditional independence between observed outcomes and treatments given covariates in both randomized experiments and observational studies, with no restriction on the variable type of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Zhen Zhong

Wasserstein barycenter, built on the theory of optimal transport, provides a powerful framework to aggregate probability distributions, and it has increasingly attracted great attention within the machine learning community. However, it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Jinjin Chi , Zhiyao Yang , Jihong Ouyang , Ximing Li

Causal inference has gained much popularity in recent years, with interests ranging from academic, to industrial, to educational, and all in between. Concurrently, the study and usage of neural networks has also grown profoundly (albeit at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-07 Demetrios Papakostas , Andrew Herren , P. Richard Hahn , Francisco Castillo

A major focus of causal inference is the estimation of heterogeneous average treatment effects (HTE) - average treatment effects within strata of another variable of interest such as levels of a biomarker, education, or age strata.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Arman Oganisian , Nandita Mitra , Jason Roy

This article is dedicated to the estimation of Wasserstein distances and Wasserstein costs between two distinct continuous distributions $F$ and $G$ on $\mathbb R$. The estimator is based on the order statistics of (possibly dependent)…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-31 Philippe Berthet , Jean-Claude Fort , Thierry Klein