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One goal in Bayesian machine learning is to encode prior knowledge into prior distributions, to model data efficiently. We consider prior knowledge from systems of linear partial differential equations together with their boundary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Markus Lange-Hegermann

In image reconstruction, an accurate quantification of uncertainty is of great importance for informed decision making. Here, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems can be used: the image is represented through a random function that…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-24 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Numerical simulations are widely used to predict the behavior of physical systems, with Bayesian approaches being particularly well suited for this purpose. However, experimental observations are necessary to calibrate certain simulator…

A central challenge in statistical inference is the presence of confounding variables that may distort observed associations between treatment and outcome. Conventional "causal" methods, grounded in assumptions such as ignorability, exclude…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Ellis Scharfenaker , Duncan K. Foley

Gaussian factor models have proven widely useful for parsimoniously characterizing dependence in multivariate data. There is a rich literature on their extension to mixed categorical and continuous variables, using latent Gaussian variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-14 Jared S. Murray , David B. Dunson , Lawrence Carin , Joseph E. Lucas

Bayesian models that can handle both over and under dispersed counts are rare in the literature, perhaps because full probability distributions for dispersed counts are rather difficult to construct. This note takes a first look at Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-08 Alan Huang , Andy Sang Il Kim

While there have been a lot of recent developments in the context of Bayesian model selection and variable selection for high dimensional linear models, there is not much work in the presence of change point in literature, unlike the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Nilabja Guha , Jyotishka Datta

We propose a generalized debiased Lasso estimator based on a stability principle. When a single column of the design matrix is perturbed, the estimator admits a simple update formula that can be computed from the original solution. Under…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Jingbo Liu

This paper provides a simple, yet reliable, alternative to the (Bayesian) estimation of large multivariate VARs with time variation in the conditional mean equations and/or in the covariance structure. With our new methodology, the original…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-01-01 Mike Tsionas , Marwan Izzeldin , Lorenzo Trapani

We propose a principled framework for nonparametric empirical Bayes (EB) estimation, based on the idea that the prior should be consistent with the observed posterior and that Bayesian updating should be stable. Focusing on discretized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Valentino Dardanoni , Stefano Demichelis

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

We study prior distributions for Poisson parameter estimation under $L^1$ loss. Specifically, we construct a new family of prior distributions whose optimal Bayesian estimators (the conditional medians) can be any prescribed increasing…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-28 Leighton P. Barnes , Alex Dytso , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach for multiscale problems with the availability of dynamic observational data. Our method selects important degrees of freedom probabilistically in a Generalized multiscale finite element method…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-18 Siu Wun Cheung , Nilabja Guha

Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Investigation of human brain states through electroencephalograph (EEG) signals is a crucial step in human-machine communications. However, classifying and analyzing EEG signals are challenging due to their noisy, nonlinear and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-19 Farzana Nasrin , Christopher Oballe , David L. Boothe , Vasileios Maroulas

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We develop a new method for frequentist multiple testing with Bayesian prior information. Our procedure finds a new set of optimal p-value weights called the Bayes weights. Prior information is relevant to many multiple testing problems.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Edgar Dobriban , Kristen Fortney , Stuart K. Kim , Art B. Owen

In this paper, we present the Bayesian inference procedures for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model derived under the assumption of an elliptically contoured distribution when the Berger and Bernardo reference and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

Bayesian Optimization is methodology used in statistical modelling that utilizes a Gaussian process prior distribution to iteratively update a posterior distribution towards the true distribution of the data. Finding unbiased informative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Ruduan Plug

There is no easy extension of Kaplan-Meier and Nelson-Aalen estimators to the bivariate case, and estimating bivariate survival distributions nonparametrically is associated with various non-trivial problems. The Dabrowska estimator will…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-15 J. K. Ghosh , Nils Lid Hjort , C. Messan , R. V. Ramamoorthi