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One of the common goals of time series analysis is to use the observed series to inform predictions for future observations. In the absence of any actual new data to predict, cross-validation can be used to estimate a model's future…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-02 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

While spatially varying coefficient (SVC) models have attracted considerable attention in applied science, they have been criticized as being unstable. The objective of this study is to show that capturing the "spatial scale" of each data…

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a key technology in many applications such as video surveillance, social robot navigation, and autonomous driving, and significant progress has been made in this research topic. However, there remain two…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Hao Zhou , Dongchun Ren , Xu Yang , Mingyu Fan , Hai Huang

We present a new data-driven model to reconstruct nonlinear flow from spatially sparse observations. The model is a version of a conditional variational auto-encoder (CVAE), which allows for probabilistic reconstruction and thus uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Kristian Gundersen , Anna Oleynik , Nello Blaser , Guttorm Alendal

Support vector machines (SVM) is one of the well known supervised classes of learning algorithms. Furthermore, the conic-segmentation SVM (CS-SVM) is a natural multiclass analogue of the standard binary SVM, as CS-SVM models are dealing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-23 Shen Peng , Gianpiero Canessa , Zhihua Allen-Zhao

Model deficiency that results from incomplete training data is a form of structural blindness that leads to costly errors, oftentimes with high confidence. During the training of classification tasks, underrepresented class-conditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Bruno Abrahao , Zheng Wang , Haider Ahmed , Yuchen Zhu

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling is computationally expensive, especially for complex models. Alternative methods make simplifying assumptions about the posterior to reduce computational burden, but their impact on predictive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Florian D. van Leeuwen , Sara van Erp

Cross-view image matching for geo-localisation is a challenging problem due to the significant visual difference between aerial and ground-level viewpoints. The method provides localisation capabilities from geo-referenced images,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-25 Tavis Shore , Simon Hadfield , Oscar Mendez

This paper investigates the influence of incorporating spatiotemporal wind data on the performance of wind forecasting neural networks. While previous studies have shown that including spatial data enhances the accuracy of such models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Heesoo Shin , Mario Rüttgers , Sangseung Lee

Spatial confounding is a fundamental issue in spatial regression models which arises because spatial random effects, included to approximate unmeasured spatial variation, are typically not independent of covariates in the model. This can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Emiko Dupont , Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib

Determining the number of factors is essential to factor analysis. In this paper, we propose {an efficient cross validation (CV)} method to determine the number of factors in approximate factor models. The method applies CV twice, first…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Xianli Zeng , Yingcun Xia , Linjun Zhang

Bayesian On-line Changepoint Detection is extended to on-line model selection and non-stationary spatio-temporal processes. We propose spatially structured Vector Autoregressions (VARs) for modelling the process between changepoints (CPs)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-07 Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas

Many econometric analyses involve spatio--temporal data. A considerable amount of literature has addressed spatio--temporal models, with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data (SDPD) being widely investigated and applied. In real data applications,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-18 Maria Lucia Parrella

Does progress in simulation translate to progress on robots? If one method outperforms another in simulation, how likely is that trend to hold in reality on a robot? We examine this question for embodied PointGoal navigation, developing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-08-18 Abhishek Kadian , Joanne Truong , Aaron Gokaslan , Alexander Clegg , Erik Wijmans , Stefan Lee , Manolis Savva , Sonia Chernova , Dhruv Batra

This paper investigates the collaboration of multiple connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) in different scenarios. In general, the collaboration of CAVs can be formulated as a nonlinear and nonconvex model predictive control (MPC)…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-26 Xiaoxue Zhang , Jun Ma , Zilong Cheng , Frank L. Lewis , Tong Heng Lee

Model averaging, as an appealing ensemble technique, strategically integrates all valuable information from candidate models to construct fast and accurate prediction. Despite of having been widely practiced in many fields such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Zhuang Yong , Lv Jing , Tingting Li

Semi-supervised learning has become a dominant paradigm for reducing annotation costs. However, we argue that the current progress is clouded by a twofold overconfidence problem. Algorithmically, mainstream pseudo-labeling frameworks often…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Jun Li , Ziwei Qin

Testing and evaluation is a critical step in the development and deployment of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs). Due to the black-box property and various types of CAVs, how to test and evaluate CAVs adaptively remains a major…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-20 Jingxuan Yang , Honglin He , Yi Zhang , Shuo Feng , Henry X. Liu

In the field of spatial data analysis, spatially varying coefficients (SVC) models, which allow regression coefficients to vary by region and flexibly capture spatial heterogeneity, have continued to be developed in various directions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Yuko Kakikawa , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-23 Pierre C. Bellec , Jin-Hong Du , Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Kai Tan