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Variational approaches to approximate Bayesian inference provide very efficient means of performing parameter estimation and model selection. Among these, so-called variational-Laplace or VL schemes rely on Gaussian approximations to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Jean Daunizeau

The Laplace approximation has been one of the workhorses of Bayesian inference. It often delivers good approximations in practice despite the fact that it does not strictly take into account where the volume of posterior density lies.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Nikolaos Gianniotis

This article introduces a Bayesian neural network estimation method for quantile regression assuming an asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD) for the response variable. It is shown that the posterior distribution for feedforward neural…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-06 Sanket R. Jantre , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric autoregressive model applied to flexibly estimate general transition densities exhibiting nonlinear lag dependence. Our approach is related to Bayesian density regression using Dirichlet process mixtures,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Matthew Heiner , Athanasios Kottas

We address in this paper a new approach for fitting spatiotemporal models with application in disease mapping using the interaction types 1,2,3, and 4. When we account for the spatiotemporal interactions in disease-mapping models, inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Esmail Abdul Fattah , Haavard Rue

The hierarchical prior used in Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) induces a posterior geometry prone to frustrate inference algorithms. Marginalizing out the latent Gaussian variable using an integrated Laplace approximation removes the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-28 Charles C. Margossian

Analysing non-Gaussian spatial-temporal data requires introducing spatial as well as temporal dependence in generalised linear models through the link function of an exponential family distribution. Unlike in Gaussian likelihoods, inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Soumyakanti Pan , Lu Zhang , Jonathan R. Bradley , Sudipto Banerjee

Photon-limited images are often seen in fields such as medical imaging. Although the number of collected photons on an image sensor statistically follows Poisson distribution, this type of noise is intractable, unlike Gaussian noise. In…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Takahiro Kawashima , Hayaru Shouno

We present an R package bssm for Bayesian non-linear/non-Gaussian state space modelling. Unlike the existing packages, bssm allows for easy-to-use approximate inference based on Gaussian approximations such as the Laplace approximation and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-13 Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

The goal of item response theoretic (IRT) models is to provide estimates of latent traits from binary observed indicators and at the same time to learn the item response functions (IRFs) that map from latent trait to observed response.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 JBrandon Duck-Mayr , Roman Garnett , Jacob M. Montgomery

This paper addresses the challenge of obtaining precise demographic information at a fine-grained spatial level, a necessity for planning localized public services such as water distribution networks, or understanding local human impacts on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Anis Pakrashi , Arnab Hazra , Sooraj M Raveendran , Krishnachandran Balakrishnan

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

Due to its self-regularizing nature and its ability to quantify uncertainty, the Bayesian approach has achieved excellent recovery performance across a wide range of sparse signal recovery applications. However, most existing methods are…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-07 Zonglong Bai , Liming Shi , Jinwei Sun , Mads Græsbøll Christensen

Bayesian Neural Networks provide a principled framework for uncertainty quantification by modeling the posterior distribution of network parameters. However, exact posterior inference is computationally intractable, and widely used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Alfredo Reichlin , Miguel Vasco , Danica Kragic

Linear quantile regression is a powerful tool to investigate how predictors may affect a response heterogeneously across different quantile levels. Unfortunately, existing approaches find it extremely difficult to adjust for any dependency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Xu Chen , Surya T. Tokdar

In this chapter, we show how to efficiently model high-dimensional extreme peaks-over-threshold events over space in complex non-stationary settings, using extended latent Gaussian Models (LGMs), and how to exploit the fitted model in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser , Árni V. Jóhannesson

The completion of a Euclidean distance matrix (EDM) from sparse and noisy observations is a fundamental challenge in signal processing, with applications in sensor network localization, acoustic room reconstruction, molecular conformation,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-02 Rohit Varma Chiluvuri , Santosh Nannuru

A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization of a Gaussian graphical model for continuous variables in which it is assumed that the variables follow a Gaussian graphical model only after some unknown smooth monotone…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

Due to the ease of modern data collection, applied statisticians often have access to a large set of covariates that they wish to relate to some observed outcome. Generalized linear models (GLMs) offer a particularly interpretable framework…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Brian L. Trippe , Jonathan H. Huggins , Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer