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The paper develops a novel design optimization framework and associated computational techniques for staged deployment optimization of complex systems under operational uncertainties. It proposes a local scenario discretization method that…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-31 Koki Ho , Masafumi Isaji , Malav Patel , Kayla Garoust

Electric utilities must make massive capital investments in the coming years to respond to explosive growth in demand, aging assets and rising threats from extreme weather. Utilities today already have rigorous frameworks for capital…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Emma Benjaminson

During dry and windy seasons, environmental conditions significantly increase the risk of wildfires, exposing power grids to disruptions caused by transmission line failures. Wildfire propagation exacerbates grid vulnerability, potentially…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-21 Juan-Alberto Estrada-Garcia , Ruiwei Jiang , Alexandre Moreira

We introduce Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) as a new paradigm for decision-making under uncertainty that combines aspects of multistage stochastic programming and conditional stochastic optimization. MCCO minimizes…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-16 Buse Şen , Yifan Hu , Daniel Kuhn

Performative prediction aims to model scenarios where predictive outcomes subsequently influence the very systems they target. The pursuit of a performative optimum (PO) -- minimizing performative risk -- is generally reliant on modeling of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Songkai Xue , Yuekai Sun

Real-world distributed systems and networks are often unreliable and subject to random failures of its components. Such a stochastic behavior affects adversely the complexity of optimization tasks performed routinely upon such systems, in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Milos Hauskrecht , Tomas Singliar

The study of robustness has received much attention due to its inevitability in data-driven settings where many systems face uncertainty. One such example of concern is Bayesian Optimization (BO), where uncertainty is multi-faceted, yet…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Hisham Husain , Vu Nguyen , Anton van den Hengel

The management of irrigation water systems has become increasingly complex due to competing demands for agricultural production, groundwater sustainability, and environmental flow requirements, particularly under hydrologic variability and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-28 Nahid Sultana , M M Rizvi , Indu Wadhawan

Stochastic forecasting is critical for efficient decision-making in uncertain systems, such as energy markets and finance, where estimating the full distribution of future scenarios is essential. We propose Diffusion Scenario Tree (DST), a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Stelios Zarifis , Ioannis Kordonis , Petros Maragos

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

Resource allocation and task prioritisation are key problem domains in the fields of autonomous vehicles, networking, and cloud computing. The challenge in developing efficient and robust algorithms comes from the dynamic nature of these…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Niall Creech , Natalia Criado Pacheco , Simon Miles

The field of portfolio selection is an active research topic, which combines elements and methodologies from various fields, such as optimization, decision analysis, risk management, data science, forecasting, etc. The modeling and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-10-28 A. Georgantas

Distributionally robust stochastic optimization (DRSO) is a framework for decision-making problems under certainty, which finds solutions that perform well for a chosen set of probability distributions. Many different approaches for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-01-17 Rui Gao , Anton J. Kleywegt

Conventional supervised learning methods are often vulnerable to spurious correlations, particularly under distribution shifts in test data. To address this issue, several approaches, most notably Group DRO, have been developed. While these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Sung Ho Jo , Seonghwi Kim , Minwoo Chae

Distributionally Robust Optimal Control (DROC) is a framework that enables robust control in a stochastic setting where the true disturbance distribution is unknown. Traditional DROC approaches require given ambiguity sets and KL divergence…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Rui Liu , Guangyao Shi , Pratap Tokekar

We consider stochastic programs conditional on some covariate information, where the only knowledge of the possible relationship between the uncertain parameters and the covariates is reduced to a finite data sample of their joint…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-23 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a widely used framework for optimizing objective functionals in the presence of both randomness and model-form uncertainty. A key step in the practical solution of many DRO problems is a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-22 Jeremiah Birrell

We develop multi-stage linear decision rules (LDRs) for dynamic power system generation and energy storage investment planning under uncertainty and propose their chance-constrained optimization with performance guarantees. First, the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Dharik Mallapragada , Audun Botterud

We consider optimal decision-making problems in an uncertain environment. In particular, we consider the case in which the distribution of the input is unknown, yet there is abundant historical data drawn from the distribution. In this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-03 Zizhuo Wang , Peter Glynn , Yinyu Ye

Data-driven decision-making under uncertainty typically presumes the collection of historical data from an unknown target probability distribution. However, one may have no access to any data from the target distribution prior to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-23 Xianyu Li , Huan Xu , Xiaolin Huang , Chao Shang