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Matching promises transparent causal inferences for observational data, making it an intuitive approach for many applications. In practice, however, standard matching methods often perform poorly compared to modern approaches such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Jonathan Che , Xiang Meng , Luke Miratrix

The use of statistical modeling in baseball has received substantial attention recently in both the media and academic community. We focus on a relatively under-explored topic: the use of statistical models for the analysis of fielding…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-14 Shane T. Jensen , Kenneth E. Shirley , Abraham J. Wyner

Shooting location is a core indicator of offensive style in invasion sports. Existing basketball shot-chart analyses often use spatial information for descriptive visualization, location-based efficiency modeling, or clustering players into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Kazuhiro Yamada , Keisuke Fujii

There seems to be an upper limit to predicting the outcome of matches in (semi-)professional sports. Recent work has proposed that this is due to chance and attempts have been made to simulate the distribution of win percentages to identify…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-08-21 Albrecht Zimmermann

Shape2SAS is a web application that allows researchers and students to build intuition and understanding of small-angle scattering. It is available at https://somo.chem.utk.edu/shape2sas. The user defines a model of arbitrary shape by…

In this paper, we propose two novel basketball metrics: ``expected points'' for team-based comparisons and ``expected points above average (EPAA)'' as a player-evaluation tool. Established within the Bayesian hierarchical model framework,…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Benjamin Williams , Erin M. Schliep , Bailey Fosdick , Ryan Elmore

Interleaving is an online evaluation approach for information retrieval systems that compares the effectiveness of ranking functions in interpreting the users' implicit feedback. Previous work such as Hofmann et al (2011) has evaluated the…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-03-20 Alessandro Benedetti , Anna Ruggero

Stream monitoring is fundamental in many data stream applications, such as financial data trackers, security, anomaly detection, and load balancing. In that respect, quantiles are of particular interest, as they often capture the user's…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-01-07 Rana Shahout , Roy Friedman , Ran Ben Basat

Within baseball analytics, there is substantial interest in comprehensive statistics intended to capture overall player performance. One such measure is Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which aggregates the contributions of a player in each…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Benjamin S. Baumer , Shane T. Jensen , Gregory J. Matthews

Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship between a binary win/loss outcome variable and certain game-state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

We study a class of stochastic dynamic games that exhibit strategic complementarities between players; formally, in the games we consider, the payoff of a player has increasing differences between her own state and the empirical…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2010-12-13 Sachin Adlakha , Ramesh Johari

We present evidence, based on play-by-play data from all 6087 games from the 2006/07--2009/10 seasons of the National Basketball Association (NBA), that basketball scoring is well described by a weakly-biased continuous-time random walk.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-07-25 Alan Gabel , S. Redner

Generally capable Spatial AI systems must build persistent scene representations where geometric models are combined with meaningful semantic labels. The many approaches to labelling scenes can be divided into two clear groups: view-based…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Zoe Landgraf , Fabian Falck , Michael Bloesch , Stefan Leutenegger , Andrew Davison

In statistical learning for real-world large-scale data problems, one must often resort to "streaming" algorithms which operate sequentially on small batches of data. In this work, we present an analysis of the information-theoretic limits…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-22 Andre Manoel , Florent Krzakala , Eric W. Tramel , Lenka Zdeborová

We introduce a three-step framework to determine at which pitches Major League batters should swing. Unlike traditional plate discipline metrics, which implicitly assume that all batters should always swing at (resp. take) pitches inside…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-21 Ryan Yee , Sameer K. Deshpande

This study proposes a few-shot personalized saliency prediction method that leverages interpersonal gaze patterns. Unlike general saliency maps, personalized saliency maps (PSMs) capture individual visual attention and provide insights into…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-30 Yuya Moroto , Keisuke Maeda , Takahiro Ogawa , Miki Haseyama

We formulate the head-to-head matchups between Major League Baseball pitchers and batters from 1954 to 2008 as a bipartite network of mutually-antagonistic interactions. We consider both the full network and single-season networks, which…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Serguei Saavedra , Scott Powers , Trent McCotter , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha

The Poisson bipolar model considers user-base station pairs distributed at random on a flat domain, similar to matchsticks scattered onto a table. Though this is a simple and tractable setting in which to study dense networks, it doesn't…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2022-03-01 Alexander P. Kartun-Giles , Konstantinos Koufos , Sunwoo Kim

Reachability analysis is at the core of many applications, from neural network verification, to safe trajectory planning of uncertain systems. However, this problem is notoriously challenging, and current approaches tend to be either too…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-10 Thomas Lew , Marco Pavone

Using videos to analyze pitchers in baseball can play a vital role in strategizing and injury prevention. Computer vision-based pose analysis offers a time-efficient and cost-effective approach. However, the use of accessible broadcast…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Jerrin Bright , Yuhao Chen , John Zelek