相关论文: Kernel Analog Forecasting: Multiscale Test Problem…

Adaptive Computing is an application-agnostic outer loop framework to strategically deploy simulations and experiments to guide decision making for scale-up analysis. Resources are allocated over successive batches, which makes the…

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

With the rise of electronic data, particularly Earth observation data, data-based geospatial modelling using machine learning (ML) has gained popularity in environmental research. Accurate geospatial predictions are vital for domain…

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

The underlying physics of astronomical systems governs the relation between their measurable properties. Consequently, quantifying the statistical relationships between system-level observable properties of a population offers insights into…

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

This paper deals with differentiable dynamical models congruent with neural process theories that cast brain function as the hierarchical refinement of an internal generative model explaining observations. Our work extends existing…

We develop a non-parametric, data-driven, tractable approach for solving multistage stochastic optimization problems in which decisions do not affect the uncertainty. The proposed framework represents the decision variables as elements of a…

The study of the physical properties of open quantum systems is at the heart of many present investigations which aim to describe their dynamical evolution, on theoretical ground and through physical realizations. Here we develop a…

Many real world data mining applications involve obtaining predictive models using data sets with strongly imbalanced distributions of the target variable. Frequently, the least common values of this target variable are associated with…

Modeling and inferring spatial relationships and predicting missing values of environmental data are some of the main tasks of geospatial statisticians. These routine tasks are accomplished using multivariate geospatial models and the…

Traditional linear methods for forecasting multivariate time series are not able to satisfactorily model the non-linear dependencies that may exist in non-Gaussian series. We build on the theory of learning vector-valued functions in the…

The frequency-domain data of a multivariable system in different operating points is used to design a robust controller with respect to the measurement noise and multimodel uncertainty. The controller is fully parametrized in terms of…

This article gives a new insight of kernel-based (approximation) methods to solve the high-dimensional stochastic partial differential equations. We will combine the techniques of meshfree approximation and kriging interpolation to extend…

Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modeling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queuing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend…

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

Efficient tools for predicting the drag of rough walls in turbulent flows would have a tremendous impact. However, methods for drag prediction rely on experiments or numerical simulations which are costly and time-consuming. Data-driven…

Given that machine learning algorithms are increasingly being deployed to aid in high stakes decision-making, uncertainty quantification methods that wrap around these black box models such as conformal prediction have received much…

A characteristic of existing predictive process monitoring techniques is to first construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating…